AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sat, Oct 24, 2026
Traders price the Knicks at 72.5% to beat the Celtics on October 23
The head-to-head market on the October 23 Knicks-Celtics game sits at 72.5% implied probability. Odds across the event's 12 markets range from 95.0% on the over/under to 50.0% on odd/even score.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Knicks' if the Knicks win and to 'Celtics' if the Celtics win, using the final score including any overtime. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. Prices shown are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.
How traders price it now and how that moved
The head-to-head market is priced at 72.5%, consistent with the Knicks being the favorite. The over/under 223.5 line is priced at 95.0%, the highest figure on the event. Its 12-point history started at 51.5%, reached a high of 60.5% and a low of 47.5%, and now sits at 60.5%, a change of +9.0 percentage points over that window.
How concentrated the odds are
Prices across the 12 markets are spread widely. A 16.5-point Knicks spread is priced at 87.0%, while a 5.5-point spread is priced at 51.5%. Team to score first is at 50.5%, and odd/even score is at 50.0%, near even odds. Total volume is $3.94M, with $3.89M traded in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| O/U 223.5 | 95.0% | $63,274 |
| Spread -16.5 | 87.0% | $2,710.41 |
| Spread -13.5 | 80.5% | $164.06 |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 72.5% | $2.74M |
| Spread -1.5 | 71.0% | $178,753 |
| Spread -10.5 | 69.5% | $714.53 |
| Spread -2.5 | 66.0% | $581,131 |
| Spread -7.5 | 56.5% | $1,517.47 |
| Spread -4.5 | 56.5% | $92,622 |
| Spread -5.5 | 51.5% | $21,657 |
| Team to Score First | 50.5% | $55.99 |
| Odd/Even Score | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- Only the final score decides the winner, including any overtime periods, so in-game extensions count toward the result.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, so timing of a rescheduled game matters for settlement.
- A canceled game with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which pulls prices toward even odds if cancellation becomes likely.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What does the 72.5% price mean?
It is the market-implied probability that the Knicks win the October 23 game, based on current trading. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice.
How does the market settle if the game is postponed?
The market stays open until the game has been completed, then resolves to 'Knicks' or 'Celtics' based on the final score, including any overtime periods.
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50, with each side receiving half of the payout.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.