{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Knicks vs. Celtics — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "The head-to-head market on the October 23 Knicks-Celtics game sits at 72.5% implied probability. Odds across the event's 12 markets range from 95.0% on the over/under to 50.0% on odd/even score. 12 markets, $3.94M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-nyk-bos-2026-10-23.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-24",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$3.94M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$3.89M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "O/U 223.5 95.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-23"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Knicks vs. Celtics",
    "slug": "nba-nyk-bos-2026-10-23",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
    "volume_usd": 3936234.0882330006,
    "volume_24h_usd": 3886839.5982290013,
    "end_date": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "O/U 223.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.05
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.95
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 63274.1415
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.13
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.87
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2710.412695
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.195
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.805
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 164.05697600000002
      },
      {
        "question": "Knicks vs. Celtics",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.275
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.725
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2738602.6381850005
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.71
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.29
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 178752.67285499998
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.305
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.695
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 714.533018
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.66
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.34
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 581131.218938
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.435
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.565
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1517.4698979999998
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.565
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.435
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 92621.68998299997
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.515
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.485
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 21656.972184
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.515
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.485
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.475
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.485
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.515
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.605
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Knicks' if the Knicks win and to 'Celtics' if the Celtics win, using the final score including any overtime. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. Prices shown are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how that moved",
        "body": "The head-to-head market is priced at 72.5%, consistent with the Knicks being the favorite. The over/under 223.5 line is priced at 95.0%, the highest figure on the event. Its 12-point history started at 51.5%, reached a high of 60.5% and a low of 47.5%, and now sits at 60.5%, a change of +9.0 percentage points over that window."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Prices across the 12 markets are spread widely. A 16.5-point Knicks spread is priced at 87.0%, while a 5.5-point spread is priced at 51.5%. Team to score first is at 50.5%, and odd/even score is at 50.0%, near even odds. Total volume is $3.94M, with $3.89M traded in the last 24 hours."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "Only the final score decides the winner, including any overtime periods, so in-game extensions count toward the result.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, so timing of a rescheduled game matters for settlement.",
      "A canceled game with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which pulls prices toward even odds if cancellation becomes likely."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does the 72.5% price mean?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability that the Knicks win the October 23 game, based on current trading. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "How does the market settle if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market stays open until the game has been completed, then resolves to 'Knicks' or 'Celtics' based on the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is canceled?",
        "a": "If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50, with each side receiving half of the payout."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "The head-to-head market on the October 23 Knicks-Celtics game sits at 72.5% implied probability. Odds across the event's 12 markets range from 95.0% on the over/under to 50.0% on odd/even score.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Knicks' if the Knicks win and to 'Celtics' if the Celtics win, using the final score including any overtime. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. Prices shown are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How traders price it now and how that moved\n\nThe head-to-head market is priced at 72.5%, consistent with the Knicks being the favorite. The over/under 223.5 line is priced at 95.0%, the highest figure on the event. Its 12-point history started at 51.5%, reached a high of 60.5% and a low of 47.5%, and now sits at 60.5%, a change of +9.0 percentage points over that window.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nPrices across the 12 markets are spread widely. A 16.5-point Knicks spread is priced at 87.0%, while a 5.5-point spread is priced at 51.5%. Team to score first is at 50.5%, and odd/even score is at 50.0%, near even odds. Total volume is $3.94M, with $3.89M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- O/U 223.5: 95.0% (vol $63,274)\n- Spread -16.5: 87.0% (vol $2,710.41)\n- Spread -13.5: 80.5% (vol $164.06)\n- Knicks vs. Celtics: 72.5% (vol $2.74M)\n- Spread -1.5: 71.0% (vol $178,753)\n- Spread -10.5: 69.5% (vol $714.53)\n- Spread -2.5: 66.0% (vol $581,131)\n- Spread -7.5: 56.5% (vol $1,517.47)\n- Spread -4.5: 56.5% (vol $92,622)\n- Spread -5.5: 51.5% (vol $21,657)\n- Team to Score First: 50.5% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- Only the final score decides the winner, including any overtime periods, so in-game extensions count toward the result.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, so timing of a rescheduled game matters for settlement.\n- A canceled game with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which pulls prices toward even odds if cancellation becomes likely.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does the 72.5% price mean?**\nIt is the market-implied probability that the Knicks win the October 23 game, based on current trading. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice.\n\n**How does the market settle if the game is postponed?**\nThe market stays open until the game has been completed, then resolves to 'Knicks' or 'Celtics' based on the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n**What happens if the game is canceled?**\nIf the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50, with each side receiving half of the payout.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Knicks vs. Celtics on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-nyk-bos-2026-10-23"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}