AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sat, Oct 24, 2026
Traders price the Hawks as clear favorites, with the moneyline listed at 100.0% Yes
The market resolves on the final score of the October 23 NBA game between the Hawks and Hornets. Its history series climbed from 34.0% to 80.0% over the last 12 half-day points.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets, based on the final score including any overtime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Prices are market-implied probabilities of a Yes outcome, not forecasts.
How traders price it now and how that moved
The moneyline market Hawks vs. Hornets is listed at 100.0%. The tracked history series started at 34.0%, is now at 80.0%, and has both its high and its low at those levels, a change of +46.0 percentage points over the last 12 half-day points. The history series ends below the listed moneyline price, so the two readings should be treated as separate series rather than one settled figure.
How concentrated the odds are
Across 12 active markets, the point spreads are priced high, from Spread -2.5 at 99.2% to Spread -16.5 at 93.5%, and the O/U 227.5 market sits at 95.8%. Team to Score First (50.5%) and Odd/Even Score (50.0%) are near even. Total volume is $2.02M, with $1.98M traded in the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Hornets | 100.0% | $1.01M |
| Spread -2.5 | 99.2% | $698.64 |
| Spread -5.5 | 99.1% | $1,920.00 |
| Spread -2.5 | 99.1% | $371,707 |
| Spread -11.5 | 99.0% | $1,865.13 |
| Spread -10.5 | 98.0% | $9,422.40 |
| Spread -8.5 | 97.7% | $59.60 |
| O/U 227.5 | 95.8% | $47,515 |
| Spread -13.5 | 95.5% | $31,124 |
| Spread -16.5 | 93.5% | $15,781 |
| Team to Score First | 50.5% | $55.99 |
| Odd/Even Score | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The resolution uses the final score, including any overtime periods, so extra time does not change the rule.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so the outcome can be delayed.
- A game canceled with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the win-based outcome.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What decides whether this market resolves to Hawks or Hornets?
The winner of the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets.
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed, so the resolution waits for the rescheduled result rather than closing early.
What does a price of 100.0% mean here?
It is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome as listed by traders on Polymarket. It reflects current trading prices and is not a forecast or advice.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.