{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Hawks vs. Hornets — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "The market resolves on the final score of the October 23 NBA game between the Hawks and Hornets. Its history series climbed from 34.0% to 80.0% over the last 12 half-day points. 12 markets, $2.02M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-atl-cha-2026-10-23.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-24",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$2.02M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.98M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Hawks vs. Hornets 100.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-23"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Hawks vs. Hornets",
    "slug": "nba-atl-cha-2026-10-23",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
    "volume_usd": 2016145.0631,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1975248.049872,
    "end_date": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Hawks vs. Hornets",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1006438.1018649999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0085
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.9915
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 698.642503
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.009
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.991
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1919.995109
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.9905
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0095
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 371706.59600399993
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -11.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0105
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.9895
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1865.1344450000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.98
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.02
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 9422.397735999999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -8.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0235
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.9765
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 59.599226
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 227.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.042
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.958
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 47514.54378199999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.955
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.045
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 31124.484423999995
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.935
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.065
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 15780.823972000002
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hawks",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.34
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.35
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.355
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.38
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.38
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.38
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.485
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.485
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.575
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.555
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.565
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.8
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets, based on the final score including any overtime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Prices are market-implied probabilities of a Yes outcome, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how that moved",
        "body": "The moneyline market Hawks vs. Hornets is listed at 100.0%. The tracked history series started at 34.0%, is now at 80.0%, and has both its high and its low at those levels, a change of +46.0 percentage points over the last 12 half-day points. The history series ends below the listed moneyline price, so the two readings should be treated as separate series rather than one settled figure."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Across 12 active markets, the point spreads are priced high, from Spread -2.5 at 99.2% to Spread -16.5 at 93.5%, and the O/U 227.5 market sits at 95.8%. Team to Score First (50.5%) and Odd/Even Score (50.0%) are near even. Total volume is $2.02M, with $1.98M traded in the last 24 hours."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The resolution uses the final score, including any overtime periods, so extra time does not change the rule.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so the outcome can be delayed.",
      "A game canceled with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the win-based outcome."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What decides whether this market resolves to Hawks or Hornets?",
        "a": "The winner of the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game has been completed, so the resolution waits for the rescheduled result rather than closing early."
      },
      {
        "q": "What does a price of 100.0% mean here?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome as listed by traders on Polymarket. It reflects current trading prices and is not a forecast or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "The market resolves on the final score of the October 23 NBA game between the Hawks and Hornets. Its history series climbed from 34.0% to 80.0% over the last 12 half-day points.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets, based on the final score including any overtime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Prices are market-implied probabilities of a Yes outcome, not forecasts.\n\n## How traders price it now and how that moved\n\nThe moneyline market Hawks vs. Hornets is listed at 100.0%. The tracked history series started at 34.0%, is now at 80.0%, and has both its high and its low at those levels, a change of +46.0 percentage points over the last 12 half-day points. The history series ends below the listed moneyline price, so the two readings should be treated as separate series rather than one settled figure.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nAcross 12 active markets, the point spreads are priced high, from Spread -2.5 at 99.2% to Spread -16.5 at 93.5%, and the O/U 227.5 market sits at 95.8%. Team to Score First (50.5%) and Odd/Even Score (50.0%) are near even. Total volume is $2.02M, with $1.98M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Hawks vs. Hornets: 100.0% (vol $1.01M)\n- Spread -2.5: 99.2% (vol $698.64)\n- Spread -5.5: 99.1% (vol $1,920.00)\n- Spread -2.5: 99.1% (vol $371,707)\n- Spread -11.5: 99.0% (vol $1,865.13)\n- Spread -10.5: 98.0% (vol $9,422.40)\n- Spread -8.5: 97.7% (vol $59.60)\n- O/U 227.5: 95.8% (vol $47,515)\n- Spread -13.5: 95.5% (vol $31,124)\n- Spread -16.5: 93.5% (vol $15,781)\n- Team to Score First: 50.5% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The resolution uses the final score, including any overtime periods, so extra time does not change the rule.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so the outcome can be delayed.\n- A game canceled with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the win-based outcome.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What decides whether this market resolves to Hawks or Hornets?**\nThe winner of the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Hawks win resolves to Hawks and a Hornets win resolves to Hornets.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market remains open until the game has been completed, so the resolution waits for the rescheduled result rather than closing early.\n\n**What does a price of 100.0% mean here?**\nIt is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome as listed by traders on Polymarket. It reflects current trading prices and is not a forecast or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Hawks vs. Hornets on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-atl-cha-2026-10-23"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}