AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Tue, Oct 13, 2026
Match Winner priced at 67.5% for HANJIN BRION as Game 1 Winner trades at 97.5%
Traders price HANJIN BRION at 67.5% in the Match Winner market, with Game 1 Winner at 97.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, and the match resolves on its result, with 50-50 outcomes for cancellation or a tie.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The Match Winner market asks who wins the Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming, a best-of-five scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. A HANJIN BRION win resolves the market to 'HANJIN BRION', and an LGD Gaming win resolves it to 'LGD Gaming'. A canceled match or a tie resolves 50-50. A postponed match counts only if rescheduled on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves 50-50, whether or not it is played.
How traders price it and how it moved
Match Winner is priced at 67.5%, while the Game 1 Winner market sits at 97.5%. The Game 1 history over the last 10 half-day points started at 52.0%, reached a high of 95.5% and a low of 52.0%, and is up 43.5 percentage points overall. Game 2 Winner is at 52.5%, Game 4 Winner at 51.5% and Game 3 Winner at 50.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, with $2.19M traded in the last 24 hours.
How concentrated the odds are
The odds are uneven across the card. Game 1 Winner at 97.5% stands far apart from the later game markets, which cluster between 50.5% and 52.5%. Totals show O/U 3.5 Games at 76.0% and O/U 4.5 Games at 62.5%. Several proposition markets, including Both Teams Slay a Dragon, Any Player Penta Kill and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, sit at 50.0%, showing no clear lean. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 97.5% | $743,474 |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 76.0% | $30,700 |
| Match Winner | 67.5% | $1.56M |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 62.5% | $56,201 |
| Game 2 Winner | 52.5% | $13,769 |
| Game 4 Winner | 51.5% | $0 |
| Game 3 Winner | 50.5% | $10,314 |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50.0% | $0 |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50.0% | $0 |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50.0% | $0 |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | $0 |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The match result decides it: a HANJIN BRION win resolves to 'HANJIN BRION', an LGD Gaming win to 'LGD Gaming'.
- Cancellation or a tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed match must be rescheduled by October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- A forfeit, disqualification or walkover resolves to the team that wins through the opponent's withdrawal.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, th…
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What happens if the match is postponed?
If it is rescheduled to a start on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves on the match as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, even if the match is played later.
Why do the Game 1 figures look different?
The market list shows Game 1 Winner at 97.5%, while its history series ends at 95.5%. Check the live feed for the current figure before drawing conclusions.
Are these percentages forecasts?
No. They are market-implied probabilities of Yes derived from trading activity. They are not predictions or advice on how the match will end.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.