AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Tue, Oct 13, 2026
Traders price Team WE at 100.0% to beat FlyQuest in Quarterfinal 3
Polymarket traders price Team WE at 100.0% to win LoL Quarterfinal 3 against FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
This market asks who wins the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Team WE and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. It resolves to 'Team WE' or 'FlyQuest' based on the match winner. A canceled match or a tie resolves 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves 50-50, even if later played. A forfeit, disqualification or walkover goes to the team that wins.
How traders price it now and how it moved
Match Winner trades at 100.0% in the market, up from a starting 78.0% over the last eight half-day points. The series low was 77.5% and the high was 100.0%, for a change of +22.0 percentage points. Total volume is $7.28M, with $7.27M traded in the last 24 hours, across 12 active markets for the event. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts of the outcome.
How concentrated the odds are across markets
Other markets in the event show a wide spread. Both Teams Slay a Dragon is at 90.5%, while O/U 3.5 Games and O/U 4.5 Games both sit at 100.0%. Any Player Quadra Kill and Any Player Penta Kill appear at 50.0% in one listing and 9.5% in another. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor is at 9.5%, and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors appears at 9.5% and 9.4%.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100.0% | $2.37M |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100.0% | $15,161 |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100.0% | $5,104.09 |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90.5% | $0 |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50.0% | $0 |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | $0 |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 9.5% | $0 |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 9.5% | $0 |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9.5% | $0 |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9.5% | $0 |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 9.5% | $0 |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 9.4% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The outcome resolves to the actual match winner between Team WE and FlyQuest as played.
- A canceled match or a tie resolves 50-50 under the resolution text.
- A postponed match must be rescheduled to start by October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET to count.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Team WE and FlyQuest in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 13, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced re…
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What happens if the match is postponed?
If it is rescheduled to a start on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves on the result as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is later played.
Does 100.0% mean the outcome is certain?
No. It is a market-implied probability taken from current trading prices. It is not a forecast or guarantee, and it can move before the match resolves.
What if a team forfeits or is disqualified?
If a team withdraws before the start and the other wins, the market resolves to the winning team. If a match begins but ends by forfeit, disqualification or walkover, the team that wins resolves the market.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.