{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Traders price HANJIN BRION at 67.5% in the Match Winner market, with Game 1 Winner at 97.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, and the match resolves on its result, with 50-50 outcomes for cancellation or a tie. 12 markets, $2.20M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lol-bro2-lgd-2026-10-13.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-13",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-13T11:31:00.015Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$2.20M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$2.19M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Game 1 Winner 97.5%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-13"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs",
    "slug": "lol-bro2-lgd-2026-10-13",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-13T11:31:00.015Z",
    "volume_usd": 2203047.7455359995,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2186861.5759980003,
    "end_date": "2026-10-13T16:50:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Game 1 Winner",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "HANJIN BRION",
            "prob": 0.025
          },
          {
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "prob": 0.975
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 743473.9903010004
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 3.5 Games",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.76
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.24
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 30700.086051000002
      },
      {
        "question": "Match Winner",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "HANJIN BRION",
            "prob": 0.325
          },
          {
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "prob": 0.675
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1559695.8523249994
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 4.5 Games",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.375
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.625
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 56201.27934400002
      },
      {
        "question": "Game 2 Winner",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "HANJIN BRION",
            "prob": 0.475
          },
          {
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "prob": 0.525
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 13768.694886
      },
      {
        "question": "Game 4 Winner",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "HANJIN BRION",
            "prob": 0.485
          },
          {
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "prob": 0.515
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Game 3 Winner",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "HANJIN BRION",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "LGD Gaming",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 10314.345892999996
      },
      {
        "question": "Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Both Teams Slay a Dragon",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Any Player Quadra Kill",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Any Player Penta Kill",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.52
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.565
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.955
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The Match Winner market asks who wins the Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming, a best-of-five scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. A HANJIN BRION win resolves the market to 'HANJIN BRION', and an LGD Gaming win resolves it to 'LGD Gaming'. A canceled match or a tie resolves 50-50. A postponed match counts only if rescheduled on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves 50-50, whether or not it is played."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it and how it moved",
        "body": "Match Winner is priced at 67.5%, while the Game 1 Winner market sits at 97.5%. The Game 1 history over the last 10 half-day points started at 52.0%, reached a high of 95.5% and a low of 52.0%, and is up 43.5 percentage points overall. Game 2 Winner is at 52.5%, Game 4 Winner at 51.5% and Game 3 Winner at 50.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, with $2.19M traded in the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "The odds are uneven across the card. Game 1 Winner at 97.5% stands far apart from the later game markets, which cluster between 50.5% and 52.5%. Totals show O/U 3.5 Games at 76.0% and O/U 4.5 Games at 62.5%. Several proposition markets, including Both Teams Slay a Dragon, Any Player Penta Kill and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, sit at 50.0%, showing no clear lean. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The match result decides it: a HANJIN BRION win resolves to 'HANJIN BRION', an LGD Gaming win to 'LGD Gaming'.",
      "Cancellation or a tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed match must be rescheduled by October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.",
      "A forfeit, disqualification or walkover resolves to the team that wins through the opponent's withdrawal."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What happens if the match is postponed?",
        "a": "If it is rescheduled to a start on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves on the match as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, even if the match is played later."
      },
      {
        "q": "Why do the Game 1 figures look different?",
        "a": "The market list shows Game 1 Winner at 97.5%, while its history series ends at 95.5%. Check the live feed for the current figure before drawing conclusions."
      },
      {
        "q": "Are these percentages forecasts?",
        "a": "No. They are market-implied probabilities of Yes derived from trading activity. They are not predictions or advice on how the match will end."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Esports",
      "league of legends",
      "Games",
      "Sports"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Traders price HANJIN BRION at 67.5% in the Match Winner market, with Game 1 Winner at 97.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, and the match resolves on its result, with 50-50 outcomes for cancellation or a tie.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe Match Winner market asks who wins the Quarterfinal 4 match between HANJIN BRION and LGD Gaming, a best-of-five scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. A HANJIN BRION win resolves the market to 'HANJIN BRION', and an LGD Gaming win resolves it to 'LGD Gaming'. A canceled match or a tie resolves 50-50. A postponed match counts only if rescheduled on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise it resolves 50-50, whether or not it is played.\n\n## How traders price it and how it moved\n\nMatch Winner is priced at 67.5%, while the Game 1 Winner market sits at 97.5%. The Game 1 history over the last 10 half-day points started at 52.0%, reached a high of 95.5% and a low of 52.0%, and is up 43.5 percentage points overall. Game 2 Winner is at 52.5%, Game 4 Winner at 51.5% and Game 3 Winner at 50.5%. Total volume is $2.20M, with $2.19M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nThe odds are uneven across the card. Game 1 Winner at 97.5% stands far apart from the later game markets, which cluster between 50.5% and 52.5%. Totals show O/U 3.5 Games at 76.0% and O/U 4.5 Games at 62.5%. Several proposition markets, including Both Teams Slay a Dragon, Any Player Penta Kill and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, sit at 50.0%, showing no clear lean. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Game 1 Winner: 97.5% (vol $743,474)\n- O/U 3.5 Games: 76.0% (vol $30,700)\n- Match Winner: 67.5% (vol $1.56M)\n- O/U 4.5 Games: 62.5% (vol $56,201)\n- Game 2 Winner: 52.5% (vol $13,769)\n- Game 4 Winner: 51.5% (vol $0)\n- Game 3 Winner: 50.5% (vol $10,314)\n- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Both Teams Slay a Dragon: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Any Player Quadra Kill: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Any Player Penta Kill: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The match result decides it: a HANJIN BRION win resolves to 'HANJIN BRION', an LGD Gaming win to 'LGD Gaming'.\n- Cancellation or a tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed match must be rescheduled by October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n- A forfeit, disqualification or walkover resolves to the team that wins through the opponent's withdrawal.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What happens if the match is postponed?**\nIf it is rescheduled to a start on or before October 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves on the match as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, even if the match is played later.\n\n**Why do the Game 1 figures look different?**\nThe market list shows Game 1 Winner at 97.5%, while its history series ends at 95.5%. Check the live feed for the current figure before drawing conclusions.\n\n**Are these percentages forecasts?**\nNo. They are market-implied probabilities of Yes derived from trading activity. They are not predictions or advice on how the match will end.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-bro2-lgd-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}