AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Wed, Oct 28, 2026
Israeli Legislative Election Winner: Likud leads at 98.8%
Polymarket traders give Likud a 98.8% chance, with $13.12M traded.
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Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Likud | 98.8% | $6.82M |
| Yashar | 1.3% | $3.85M |
| Together | 0.1% | $2.34M |
| Shas | 0.1% | $20,162 |
| The Democrats | 0.1% | $50,031 |
| Otzma Yehudit | 0.1% | $46,718 |
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabe…
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.