AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sat, Oct 17, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: J.D. Vance leads at 47.0%
Polymarket traders give J.D. Vance a 47.0% chance, with $712.49M traded.
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Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 47.0% | $15.90M |
| Marco Rubio | 13.5% | $10.79M |
| Ron DeSantis | 2.5% | $15.69M |
| Donald Trump | 1.9% | $9.66M |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 1.7% | $9.76M |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0.4% | $14.10M |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0.4% | $8.75M |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0.3% | $16.94M |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 0.3% | $16.13M |
| Nikki Haley | 0.1% | $10.51M |
| Greg Abbott | 0.1% | $21.38M |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 0.1% | $36.13M |
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.