{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Israeli Legislative Election Winner — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket traders give Likud a 98.8% chance, with $13.12M traded. 6 markets, $13.12M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/israeli-legislative-election-winner.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-28",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-28T00:37:01.991Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$13.12M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$9.12M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "6"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Likud 98.8%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-28"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Israeli Legislative Election Winner",
    "slug": "israeli-legislative-election-winner",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-28T00:37:01.991Z",
    "volume_usd": 13118541.05143,
    "volume_24h_usd": 9120454.632433001,
    "end_date": "2026-10-28T03:59:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Likud",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.9875
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.0125
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 6818993.071872
      },
      {
        "question": "Yashar",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.013
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.987
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3846679.951373
      },
      {
        "question": "Together",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2335958.1359580006
      },
      {
        "question": "Shas",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 20161.780832
      },
      {
        "question": "The Democrats",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 50030.509563
      },
      {
        "question": "Otzma Yehudit",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 46717.601832
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "09-28",
        "v": 0.41
      },
      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.4
      },
      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.445
      },
      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.58
      },
      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.525
      },
      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.54
      },
      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.545
      },
      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.55
      },
      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.54
      },
      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.53
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.455
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.475
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.495
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.485
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.515
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.515
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.49
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.495
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.455
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.42
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.415
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.405
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.385
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.33
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.325
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.315
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.325
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.325
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.285
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.275
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.28
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.28
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.305
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.305
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.305
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.285
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.315
      },
      {
        "t": "10-26",
        "v": 0.285
      },
      {
        "t": "10-28",
        "v": 0.973
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [],
    "drivers": [],
    "faq": [],
    "tags": [
      "Politics",
      "Main Election",
      "Global Elections",
      "Israel",
      "Elections",
      "netanyahu",
      "Bennett",
      "Likud"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket traders give Likud a 98.8% chance, with $13.12M traded.\n\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Likud: 98.8% (vol $6.82M)\n- Yashar: 1.3% (vol $3.85M)\n- Together: 0.1% (vol $2.34M)\n- Shas: 0.1% (vol $20,162)\n- The Democrats: 0.1% (vol $50,031)\n- Otzma Yehudit: 0.1% (vol $46,718)\n\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Israeli Legislative Election Winner on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/israeli-legislative-election-winner"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}