AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Wed, Oct 28, 2026
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?: 25-29 leads at 85.5%
Polymarket traders give 25-29 a 85.5% chance, with $4.25M traded.
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Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| 25-29 | 85.5% | $1.10M |
| 30-34 | 13.2% | $1.74M |
| 20-24 | 1.9% | $410,987 |
| 35+ | 0.4% | $493,701 |
| <20 | 0.1% | $513,475 |
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowes…
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.