Iowa State vs. BYU — Live Odds & Analysis
Live Polymarket odds for "Iowa State vs. BYU": Spread -10.5 BYU 99%. 12 markets, $710,121.63 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.
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What the market is asking and how traders are pricing it
The event asks which team wins Iowa State vs. BYU on October 9 at 10:15 p.m. ET; overtime counts, while a tie resolves 50–50. The main market prices BYU at 93% implied probability and Iowa State at the residual implied probability. Spread markets are even more concentrated on BYU: BYU is priced at 96–99% across spreads from -4.5 to -10.5. The notable exceptions are BYU -8.5 at 51% and Iowa State -14.5 at 51%, reflecting different spread definitions and market structures.
What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them
The stated $710,121.63 total volume across 12 active markets indicates substantial trading interest, but volume alone does not establish accuracy or consensus quality. Collectively, the prices imply that traders strongly favor a BYU win, while showing less uniform conviction about the eventual margin. The odds could move with information affecting expected team strength or game conditions, including confirmed availability news, late market trading, or developments involving the game’s scheduling and resolution status. These are market-implied probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. [1][4]
Current market odds
| Market | Leading outcome | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Spread -10.5 | BYU 99% | $138.04 |
| Spread -7.5 | BYU 99% | $1.39 |
| Spread -6.5 | BYU 98% | $40 |
| Spread -5.5 | BYU 97% | $235 |
| Spread -4.5 | BYU 96% | $0 |
| Iowa State vs. BYU | BYU 93% | $132,641.13 |
| Spread -14.5 | Iowa State 51% | $86.23 |
| Spread -8.5 | BYU 51% | $0 |
| Spread -16.5 | BYU 50% | $0 |
| Spread -20.5 | BYU 50% | $0 |
| Spread -17.5 | Iowa State 50% | $0 |
| Spread -13.5 | Iowa State 50% | $0 |
Live data via the AISA Polymarket API. Updated 2026-10-10. View on Polymarket ↗