Prediction Markets · Sat, Oct 24, 2026
Traders price the Mavericks to beat the Pacers at 94.2% in their October 23 NBA game
The Mavericks vs. Pacers market shows 94.2% implied odds for the Mavericks. Its resolution depends only on the final score, including any overtime, and the market stays open if the game is postponed.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The market covers one NBA game between the Mavericks and Pacers, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Mavericks' if the Mavericks win and to 'Pacers' if the Pacers win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
How traders price it now and how that moved
The headline Mavericks vs. Pacers market is priced at 94.2%. The related Spread -9.5 market started its recent window at 61.5% and now sits at 93.0%, with a high of 93.0% and a low of 60.5%, a change of +31.5 percentage points over the last three half-day points. The event has $2.09M total volume and $2.11M in 24-hour volume across 12 active markets.
How concentrated the odds are
Most spread lines are priced near certainty, from Spread -4.5 at 97.2% to Spread -17.5 at 98.9%. The over/under lines are less concentrated, with O/U 235.5 at 66.0% and O/U 231.5 at 54.5%. Team to Score First sits at 50.5% and Odd/Even Score at 50.0%, showing little conviction on those props.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Spread -9.5 | 99.0% | $3,036.48 |
| Spread -17.5 | 98.9% | $574.86 |
| Spread -8.5 | 98.9% | $4,109.17 |
| Spread -11.5 | 98.5% | $1,298.25 |
| Spread -6.5 | 98.0% | $75,914 |
| Spread -14.5 | 98.0% | $5.00 |
| Spread -4.5 | 97.2% | $10,397 |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 94.2% | $784,386 |
| O/U 235.5 | 66.0% | $4,295.59 |
| O/U 231.5 | 54.5% | $763.43 |
| Team to Score First | 50.5% | $55.99 |
| Odd/Even Score | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The winner is decided by the final score, including any overtime periods, so the resolution hinges on the official result.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed, so timing alone does not settle it.
- A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which is a distinct outcome from a win for either team.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
Does a postponed game void this market?
No. Under the resolution text, the market remains open until the game has been completed, and then resolves based on the final result.
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. If a make-up game is scheduled, the market instead waits for that game.
Do the spread and over/under markets resolve the same way?
This answer covers only the winner market described above. Spread and over/under markets are listed separately within the event and carry their own terms.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.