AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Tue, Oct 13, 2026
Quadra and Penta Kill markets both sit at 9.5% for the LOS vs KaBuM! series
Both Any Player kill markets for this CBLOL playoff match are priced at 9.5% implied probability. The Quadra Kill market has fallen sharply from its earlier 50.0% high.
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What the markets ask and how they resolve
The event has two markets, Any Player Quadra Kill and Any Player Penta Kill, both at 9.5% implied probability. The attached resolution language centers on the match result: it resolves to 'LOS' if LOS win and to 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas' if KaBuM! wins. A canceled or tied match resolves 50-50, and a postponed match follows a rescheduling deadline of October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Traders should read the full resolution text for how kill-count outcomes are settled.
Current pricing and recent move
The Any Player Quadra Kill market has moved from 50.0% at the start of its 13 half-day history to 9.5% now, down 40.5 percentage points. Its high in that window was 50.0% and its low was 9.5%, so the current price sits at the bottom of the observed range. The Any Player Penta Kill market is also at 9.5%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.
How concentrated the odds are
Both kill markets currently show the same 9.5% price, so the event's pricing is uniform across the two kill-count questions. Total event volume is $718,035, with $708,413 traded in the last 24 hours. That heavy recent share suggests most activity and repricing happened close to the current date.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 9.5% | $0 |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 9.5% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The resolution text ties settlement to the official match outcome between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.
- A cancellation or tie resolves 50-50, so those outcomes would pay out differently from a played result.
- A postponement only counts if the rescheduled start falls on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against LOS. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most …
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What does a 9.5% price mean here?
It is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome at the time of the snapshot. It reflects where traders are currently pricing the question and is not a forecast or advice.
Why did the Quadra Kill market fall so much?
Its price moved from 50.0% to 9.5% over the recorded history, a drop of 40.5 percentage points. The data shows the move but not the specific cause behind it.
What happens if the match is postponed?
The match must be rescheduled to a start on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the most recently announced start is within that deadline, the market resolves on the match result; otherwise it resolves 50-50.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.