{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Both Any Player kill markets for this CBLOL playoff match are priced at 9.5% implied probability. The Quadra Kill market has fallen sharply from its earlier 50.0% high. 2 markets, $718,035 volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lol-los-kbm-2026-10-12.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-13",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-13T06:10:14.393Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$718,035"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$708,413"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "2"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Any Player Quadra Kill 9.5%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-13"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs",
    "slug": "lol-los-kbm-2026-10-12",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-13T06:10:14.393Z",
    "volume_usd": 718034.955554,
    "volume_24h_usd": 708413.044504,
    "end_date": "2026-10-13T03:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Any Player Quadra Kill",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.095
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.905
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Any Player Penta Kill",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.095
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.905
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.095
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the markets ask and how they resolve",
        "body": "The event has two markets, Any Player Quadra Kill and Any Player Penta Kill, both at 9.5% implied probability. The attached resolution language centers on the match result: it resolves to 'LOS' if LOS win and to 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas' if KaBuM! wins. A canceled or tied match resolves 50-50, and a postponed match follows a rescheduling deadline of October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Traders should read the full resolution text for how kill-count outcomes are settled."
      },
      {
        "h": "Current pricing and recent move",
        "body": "The Any Player Quadra Kill market has moved from 50.0% at the start of its 13 half-day history to 9.5% now, down 40.5 percentage points. Its high in that window was 50.0% and its low was 9.5%, so the current price sits at the bottom of the observed range. The Any Player Penta Kill market is also at 9.5%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Both kill markets currently show the same 9.5% price, so the event's pricing is uniform across the two kill-count questions. Total event volume is $718,035, with $708,413 traded in the last 24 hours. That heavy recent share suggests most activity and repricing happened close to the current date."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The resolution text ties settlement to the official match outcome between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.",
      "A cancellation or tie resolves 50-50, so those outcomes would pay out differently from a played result.",
      "A postponement only counts if the rescheduled start falls on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does a 9.5% price mean here?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome at the time of the snapshot. It reflects where traders are currently pricing the question and is not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "Why did the Quadra Kill market fall so much?",
        "a": "Its price moved from 50.0% to 9.5% over the recorded history, a drop of 40.5 percentage points. The data shows the move but not the specific cause behind it."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the match is postponed?",
        "a": "The match must be rescheduled to a start on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the most recently announced start is within that deadline, the market resolves on the match result; otherwise it resolves 50-50."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Esports",
      "league of legends",
      "Games",
      "Sports"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Both Any Player kill markets for this CBLOL playoff match are priced at 9.5% implied probability. The Quadra Kill market has fallen sharply from its earlier 50.0% high.\n\n## What the markets ask and how they resolve\n\nThe event has two markets, Any Player Quadra Kill and Any Player Penta Kill, both at 9.5% implied probability. The attached resolution language centers on the match result: it resolves to 'LOS' if LOS win and to 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas' if KaBuM! wins. A canceled or tied match resolves 50-50, and a postponed match follows a rescheduling deadline of October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Traders should read the full resolution text for how kill-count outcomes are settled.\n\n## Current pricing and recent move\n\nThe Any Player Quadra Kill market has moved from 50.0% at the start of its 13 half-day history to 9.5% now, down 40.5 percentage points. Its high in that window was 50.0% and its low was 9.5%, so the current price sits at the bottom of the observed range. The Any Player Penta Kill market is also at 9.5%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nBoth kill markets currently show the same 9.5% price, so the event's pricing is uniform across the two kill-count questions. Total event volume is $718,035, with $708,413 traded in the last 24 hours. That heavy recent share suggests most activity and repricing happened close to the current date.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Any Player Quadra Kill: 9.5% (vol $0)\n- Any Player Penta Kill: 9.5% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The resolution text ties settlement to the official match outcome between LOS and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.\n- A cancellation or tie resolves 50-50, so those outcomes would pay out differently from a played result.\n- A postponement only counts if the rescheduled start falls on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does a 9.5% price mean here?**\nIt is the market-implied probability of a Yes outcome at the time of the snapshot. It reflects where traders are currently pricing the question and is not a forecast or advice.\n\n**Why did the Quadra Kill market fall so much?**\nIts price moved from 50.0% to 9.5% over the recorded history, a drop of 40.5 percentage points. The data shows the move but not the specific cause behind it.\n\n**What happens if the match is postponed?**\nThe match must be rescheduled to a start on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the most recently announced start is within that deadline, the market resolves on the match result; otherwise it resolves 50-50.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lol-los-kbm-2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}