AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Traders price most passing-yard and field-goal lines at 99.5% Yes, while BYU 250.5 passing yards sits at 50.0%
Traders price the BYU vs. UCF prop board unevenly: many yardage and field-goal lines sit at 99.5%, while kick-return, pick-six and several higher-threshold lines hover near coin flips.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
This event bundles twelve markets tied to the BYU vs. UCF college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET, with an end date of 2026-10-24. The resolution text sets the rules for the game outcome: it resolves to BYU if BYU wins and to UCF if UCF wins, with overtime included if played. A tie resolves 50-50, a postponed game stays open until completed, and a game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $1.63M, with $1.58M traded in the last 24 hours.
How traders price it now
The BYU Total Passing Yards O/U 200.5 line is at 50.0% Yes. Over the last 22 half-day points it started at 50.5%, peaked at 50.5%, bottomed at 50.0%, and is now down 0.5 percentage points. Other yardage lines are far more lopsided: BYU O/U 225.5, UCF O/U 200.5, UCF O/U 225.5 and UCF O/U 250.5 all sit at 99.5% Yes. The BYU O/U 250.5 passing line, by contrast, is at 50.0%, suggesting traders see that higher threshold as genuinely uncertain.
How concentrated the odds are
Pricing splits into clear clusters. Most passing-yard lines and the UCF 40+ yard field goal lines cluster at 99.5% Yes, meaning the market treats those outcomes as near-settled. A second group sits at 50.0%, including BYU total scrimmage yards O/U 375.5 and UCF total receptions O/U 24.5. Kickoff or punt return touchdown is at 50.0%, and pick-six scored is at 49.5%. All figures are market-implied probabilities from current trading, not forecasts or advice.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 99.5% | $0 |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50.0% | $0 |
| BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50.0% | $0 |
| BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50.0% | $0 |
| UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50.0% | $0 |
| Pick-Six Scored | 49.5% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The game winner settles the market: a BYU or UCF win decides the result, with overtime counted if played.
- A tie or a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, pulling the outcome toward the midpoint.
- A postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed, so settlement waits for the final result.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between BYU and UCF, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "BYU" if BYU win the game. This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
Does overtime count toward the result?
Yes. The resolution text states overtime is included if played, so the final result after any extra period determines whether the market resolves to BYU or UCF.
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed, so settlement waits for the final result rather than the originally scheduled date.
Why do some lines show 99.5% and others 50.0%?
The percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes from current trading. Lines at 99.5% reflect prices set near certainty, while 50.0% lines show balanced positioning. They are not forecasts or advice.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.