{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "BYU vs. UCF — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Traders price the BYU vs. UCF prop board unevenly: many yardage and field-goal lines sit at 99.5%, while kick-return, pick-six and several higher-threshold lines hover near coin flips. 12 markets, $1.63M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-byu-ucf-2026-10-24.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-25",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.63M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.58M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "BYU Total Passing Yard 99.5%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-24"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "BYU vs. UCF",
    "slug": "cfb-byu-ucf-2026-10-24",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
    "volume_usd": 1629075.106178,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1577979.622678,
    "end_date": "2026-10-24T19:30:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Pick-Six Scored",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.5
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "This event bundles twelve markets tied to the BYU vs. UCF college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET, with an end date of 2026-10-24. The resolution text sets the rules for the game outcome: it resolves to BYU if BYU wins and to UCF if UCF wins, with overtime included if played. A tie resolves 50-50, a postponed game stays open until completed, and a game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $1.63M, with $1.58M traded in the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now",
        "body": "The BYU Total Passing Yards O/U 200.5 line is at 50.0% Yes. Over the last 22 half-day points it started at 50.5%, peaked at 50.5%, bottomed at 50.0%, and is now down 0.5 percentage points. Other yardage lines are far more lopsided: BYU O/U 225.5, UCF O/U 200.5, UCF O/U 225.5 and UCF O/U 250.5 all sit at 99.5% Yes. The BYU O/U 250.5 passing line, by contrast, is at 50.0%, suggesting traders see that higher threshold as genuinely uncertain."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Pricing splits into clear clusters. Most passing-yard lines and the UCF 40+ yard field goal lines cluster at 99.5% Yes, meaning the market treats those outcomes as near-settled. A second group sits at 50.0%, including BYU total scrimmage yards O/U 375.5 and UCF total receptions O/U 24.5. Kickoff or punt return touchdown is at 50.0%, and pick-six scored is at 49.5%. All figures are market-implied probabilities from current trading, not forecasts or advice."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The game winner settles the market: a BYU or UCF win decides the result, with overtime counted if played.",
      "A tie or a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, pulling the outcome toward the midpoint.",
      "A postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed, so settlement waits for the final result."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Does overtime count toward the result?",
        "a": "Yes. The resolution text states overtime is included if played, so the final result after any extra period determines whether the market resolves to BYU or UCF."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game has been completed, so settlement waits for the final result rather than the originally scheduled date."
      },
      {
        "q": "Why do some lines show 99.5% and others 50.0%?",
        "a": "The percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes from current trading. Lines at 99.5% reflect prices set near certainty, while 50.0% lines show balanced positioning. They are not forecasts or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "CFB (All)",
      "Games",
      "CFB"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Traders price the BYU vs. UCF prop board unevenly: many yardage and field-goal lines sit at 99.5%, while kick-return, pick-six and several higher-threshold lines hover near coin flips.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThis event bundles twelve markets tied to the BYU vs. UCF college football game, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET, with an end date of 2026-10-24. The resolution text sets the rules for the game outcome: it resolves to BYU if BYU wins and to UCF if UCF wins, with overtime included if played. A tie resolves 50-50, a postponed game stays open until completed, and a game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $1.63M, with $1.58M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## How traders price it now\n\nThe BYU Total Passing Yards O/U 200.5 line is at 50.0% Yes. Over the last 22 half-day points it started at 50.5%, peaked at 50.5%, bottomed at 50.0%, and is now down 0.5 percentage points. Other yardage lines are far more lopsided: BYU O/U 225.5, UCF O/U 200.5, UCF O/U 225.5 and UCF O/U 250.5 all sit at 99.5% Yes. The BYU O/U 250.5 passing line, by contrast, is at 50.0%, suggesting traders see that higher threshold as genuinely uncertain.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nPricing splits into clear clusters. Most passing-yard lines and the UCF 40+ yard field goal lines cluster at 99.5% Yes, meaning the market treats those outcomes as near-settled. A second group sits at 50.0%, including BYU total scrimmage yards O/U 375.5 and UCF total receptions O/U 24.5. Kickoff or punt return touchdown is at 50.0%, and pick-six scored is at 49.5%. All figures are market-implied probabilities from current trading, not forecasts or advice.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- UCF Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5: 99.5% (vol $0)\n- Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- BYU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- BYU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- UCF Total Receptions: O/U 24.5: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Pick-Six Scored: 49.5% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The game winner settles the market: a BYU or UCF win decides the result, with overtime counted if played.\n- A tie or a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, pulling the outcome toward the midpoint.\n- A postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed, so settlement waits for the final result.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Does overtime count toward the result?**\nYes. The resolution text states overtime is included if played, so the final result after any extra period determines whether the market resolves to BYU or UCF.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market remains open until the game has been completed, so settlement waits for the final result rather than the originally scheduled date.\n\n**Why do some lines show 99.5% and others 50.0%?**\nThe percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes from current trading. Lines at 99.5% reflect prices set near certainty, while 50.0% lines show balanced positioning. They are not forecasts or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "BYU vs. UCF on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-byu-ucf-2026-10-24"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}