AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Heat vs. Hornets: Yes priced at 100.0% in the main market, but its trend fell to 47.5%
The Heat vs. Hornets winner market lists Yes at 100.0%, while its tracked history slid from 68.5% to 47.5% over recent half-day points. These are trader-implied odds, not forecasts.
You're reading the full report — free for humans and search engines.
The same content ships as a structured JSON dataset (normalized facts, sources and
citation arrays, no HTML parsing) so AI agents can consume it directly — metered per fetch via the open
HTTP 402 payment protocol.
crawlerAutoPrice=true · verify at https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify
What the market asks and how it resolves
This market asks which team wins the NBA game between the Heat and Hornets, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET. A Heat win resolves the market to 'Heat', and a Hornets win resolves it to 'Hornets'. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The result is based on the final score, including any overtime periods.
How traders price it now and how it moved
The main Heat vs. Hornets contract is listed at 100.0% implied probability for Yes. Its tracked history opened at 68.5%, peaked at 68.5%, bottomed at 37.5% and now sits at 47.5%, a change of down 21.0 percentage points over the window. The sharp gap between the listed price and the tracked series shows how much the reading depends on which series is watched. Market-implied odds are not forecasts or advice.
How concentrated the odds are
Odds sit at the extremes on the margin ladder: the O/U 232.5 line and every spread market show 100.0%. Team to Score First is at 54.0%, Odd/Even Score at 53.0%, and Overtime at 47.0%, the closest of these to even. Total volume is $4.58M, with $4.72M traded in the last 24 hours across 12 active markets.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hornets | 100.0% | $3.15M |
| Spread -3.5 | 100.0% | $176,159 |
| O/U 232.5 | 100.0% | $38,323 |
| Spread -24.5 | 100.0% | $9,138.94 |
| Spread -10.5 | 100.0% | $14,026 |
| Spread -12.5 | 100.0% | $52,558 |
| Spread -14.5 | 100.0% | $9,331.22 |
| Spread -16.5 | 100.0% | $19,755 |
| Spread -18.5 | 100.0% | $8,350.04 |
| Team to Score First | 54.0% | $55.99 |
| Odd/Even Score | 53.0% | $0 |
| Overtime? | 47.0% | $1.03 |
What decides this market
- The final score decides the outcome, including any overtime periods, so overtime play can change the result.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.
- A cancellation with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50 instead of to either team.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market stays open until the game has been completed, and it then resolves based on that final result.
Does overtime count toward the result?
Yes. The result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods.
Are these prices forecasts?
No. The percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on trader pricing, not forecasts or advice.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.