{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Heat vs. Hornets — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "The Heat vs. Hornets winner market lists Yes at 100.0%, while its tracked history slid from 68.5% to 47.5% over recent half-day points. These are trader-implied odds, not forecasts. 12 markets, $4.58M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-mia-cha-2026-10-24.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-25",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$4.58M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$4.72M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Heat vs. Hornets 100.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-24"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Heat vs. Hornets",
    "slug": "nba-mia-cha-2026-10-24",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
    "volume_usd": 4579546.523045,
    "volume_24h_usd": 4715486.794557,
    "end_date": "2026-10-24T22:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Heat vs. Hornets",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3154395.16339
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 176158.507664
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 232.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 38322.845761000004
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -24.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 9138.944703
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 14025.738946000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -12.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 52557.957361
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 9331.22438
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 19755.044798000003
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -18.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.0005
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.9995
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 8350.043117
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Heat",
            "prob": 0.54
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Hornets",
            "prob": 0.46
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.53
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.47
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Overtime?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.47
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.53
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1.0309
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.685
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.67
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.665
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.595
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.545
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.49
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.375
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.4
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.395
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.46
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.475
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "This market asks which team wins the NBA game between the Heat and Hornets, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET. A Heat win resolves the market to 'Heat', and a Hornets win resolves it to 'Hornets'. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The result is based on the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The main Heat vs. Hornets contract is listed at 100.0% implied probability for Yes. Its tracked history opened at 68.5%, peaked at 68.5%, bottomed at 37.5% and now sits at 47.5%, a change of down 21.0 percentage points over the window. The sharp gap between the listed price and the tracked series shows how much the reading depends on which series is watched. Market-implied odds are not forecasts or advice."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Odds sit at the extremes on the margin ladder: the O/U 232.5 line and every spread market show 100.0%. Team to Score First is at 54.0%, Odd/Even Score at 53.0%, and Overtime at 47.0%, the closest of these to even. Total volume is $4.58M, with $4.72M traded in the last 24 hours across 12 active markets."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final score decides the outcome, including any overtime periods, so overtime play can change the result.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.",
      "A cancellation with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50 instead of to either team."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market stays open until the game has been completed, and it then resolves based on that final result."
      },
      {
        "q": "Does overtime count toward the result?",
        "a": "Yes. The result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "q": "Are these prices forecasts?",
        "a": "No. The percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on trader pricing, not forecasts or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "The Heat vs. Hornets winner market lists Yes at 100.0%, while its tracked history slid from 68.5% to 47.5% over recent half-day points. These are trader-implied odds, not forecasts.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThis market asks which team wins the NBA game between the Heat and Hornets, scheduled for October 24 at 6:00PM ET. A Heat win resolves the market to 'Heat', and a Hornets win resolves it to 'Hornets'. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The result is based on the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe main Heat vs. Hornets contract is listed at 100.0% implied probability for Yes. Its tracked history opened at 68.5%, peaked at 68.5%, bottomed at 37.5% and now sits at 47.5%, a change of down 21.0 percentage points over the window. The sharp gap between the listed price and the tracked series shows how much the reading depends on which series is watched. Market-implied odds are not forecasts or advice.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nOdds sit at the extremes on the margin ladder: the O/U 232.5 line and every spread market show 100.0%. Team to Score First is at 54.0%, Odd/Even Score at 53.0%, and Overtime at 47.0%, the closest of these to even. Total volume is $4.58M, with $4.72M traded in the last 24 hours across 12 active markets.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Heat vs. Hornets: 100.0% (vol $3.15M)\n- Spread -3.5: 100.0% (vol $176,159)\n- O/U 232.5: 100.0% (vol $38,323)\n- Spread -24.5: 100.0% (vol $9,138.94)\n- Spread -10.5: 100.0% (vol $14,026)\n- Spread -12.5: 100.0% (vol $52,558)\n- Spread -14.5: 100.0% (vol $9,331.22)\n- Spread -16.5: 100.0% (vol $19,755)\n- Spread -18.5: 100.0% (vol $8,350.04)\n- Team to Score First: 54.0% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 53.0% (vol $0)\n- Overtime?: 47.0% (vol $1.03)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final score decides the outcome, including any overtime periods, so overtime play can change the result.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.\n- A cancellation with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50 instead of to either team.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market stays open until the game has been completed, and it then resolves based on that final result.\n\n**Does overtime count toward the result?**\nYes. The result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n**Are these prices forecasts?**\nNo. The percentages are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on trader pricing, not forecasts or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Heat vs. Hornets on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-cha-2026-10-24"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}