AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Fri, Oct 16, 2026
Traders price the Buffalo Bills as the 2027 NFL champion favorite at 11.5%
Prices on this Polymarket event are market-implied probabilities that each listed NFL team wins the 2027 championship. Buffalo leads the field, with Baltimore second at 7.8%.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The market asks which team will win the 2027 NFL league championship, and each listed team has its own Yes or No contract. A team's market resolves No if NFL rules make it impossible for that team to win, such as elimination in the playoffs. If the championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or no winner is declared in that window, markets resolve to Other. Official NFL information is the primary source, with consensus credible reporting as a backup. The event shows total volume of $67.36M and ends 2027-04-01.
How traders price it and how it moved
Buffalo Bills lead at 11.5%, ahead of Baltimore Ravens at 7.8% and Cincinnati Bengals at 3.8%. Over the last 61 half-day points, the Bills started at 10.5%, peaked at 13.5%, bottomed at 8.5%, and now sit at 11.5%, a net change of +1.0 percentage points. The 24h volume of $1.58M shows active trading today. These are market-implied probabilities based on current trades, not forecasts or advice.
How concentrated the odds are
Pricing is spread across 12 active markets, with the lower end trading near zero, including Cleveland Browns at 0.4% and Arizona Cardinals at 0.3%. Several mid-table teams cluster closely, such as Chicago Bears at 3.5%, Denver Broncos at 3.1% and Detroit Lions at 3.0%. Buffalo holds a visible lead, but no team dominates the field outright, and the gap between the top few contenders remains moderate.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 11.5% | $1.22M |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7.8% | $1.62M |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3.8% | $1.86M |
| Chicago Bears | 3.5% | $1.86M |
| Denver Broncos | 3.1% | $1.90M |
| Detroit Lions | 3.0% | $1.68M |
| Dallas Cowboys | 2.5% | $1.77M |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.0% | $1.90M |
| Carolina Panthers | 1.1% | $4.26M |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.9% | $1.74M |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.4% | $2.09M |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.3% | $2.09M |
What decides this market
- A market resolves No once NFL rules make a listed team unable to win, such as elimination in the playoffs.
- If the 2027 NFL league championship is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or has no declared winner, the market resolves to Other.
- The primary source is official NFL information at nfl.com, with consensus credible reporting as a secondary basis.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
Does a Yes price mean the team is likely to win?
Not necessarily. The percentage is a market-implied probability based on current trading, not a forecast or advice. It can change as trades happen and news breaks.
What happens if the game is postponed past March 31, 2027?
If the 2027 NFL league championship is postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or no winner is declared in that window, the market resolves to Other rather than to any team.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.