AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Fri, Oct 16, 2026
Traders price the Seahawks at 54.5% over the Broncos; O/U 22.5 leads at 92.0%
Traders price the Seahawks at 54.5% against the Broncos, while the low-scoring O/U 22.5 line sits at 92.0%. The market settles on the final result, with overtime included and ties or cancellations resolving 50-50.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The event bundles 12 active markets on one NFL game between the Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET. The core moneyline resolves to Seahawks if they win and to Broncos if they win, with overtime counted if played. A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. Spread and over/under markets settle on the same final result.
How traders price it now and how that moved
The Seahawks moneyline sits at 54.5%, and the Spread -0.5 market is at 51.5%. Wider margins are priced lower: Spread -2.5 at 57.0% and Spread -4.5 at 72.0%. The O/U 22.5 line has moved the most, rising from 50.0% to 96.0% across its recent history, a change of +46.0 percentage points, with a low of 49.5%. Its current price is listed at 92.0%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.
How concentrated the odds are
Prices across the 12 markets range from 51.5% on the Spread -0.5 market to 92.0% on the O/U 22.5 line. Lower totals are priced higher, with O/U 22.5 at 92.0% and O/U 24.5 at 91.0%, compared with O/U 32.5 at 74.5%. Moneyline and tight spreads cluster near even, between 51.5% and 57.0%. The event has $3.54M in total volume, including $2.82M over the last 24 hours.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 92.0% | $38.57 |
| O/U 24.5 | 91.0% | $202.00 |
| O/U 28.5 | 82.5% | $1,709.11 |
| O/U 26.5 | 78.0% | $0 |
| O/U 30.5 | 78.0% | $1,587.67 |
| O/U 32.5 | 74.5% | $330.83 |
| Spread -4.5 | 72.0% | $19,139 |
| Spread -3.5 | 68.0% | $52,374 |
| Spread -2.5 | 57.0% | $425,165 |
| Spread -1.5 | 56.5% | $4,237.89 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | 54.5% | $2.54M |
| Spread -0.5 | 51.5% | $21,789 |
What decides this market
- Resolves to Seahawks if they win and to Broncos if they win, with overtime included if played.
- A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What does a Yes price mean in this event?
A Yes price is the market-implied probability that the named outcome occurs, such as the Seahawks winning. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice.
How are ties and cancellations handled?
A tie resolves 50-50. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market also resolves 50-50. A postponed game keeps the market open until it has been completed.
Does overtime change how the market resolves?
Yes, overtime is included if it is played. The final result after any extra period determines whether the market resolves to Seahawks or Broncos.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.