AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Mon, Oct 26, 2026
Traders price Grizzlies at 62.5% to beat Kings; Spread -15.5 trades at 92.0%
The event lists 12 active markets on one NBA game. Prices are market-implied probabilities of Yes, and the main winner market sits at 62.5% for the Grizzlies.
You're reading the full report — free for humans and search engines.
The same content ships as a structured JSON dataset (normalized facts, sources and
citation arrays, no HTML parsing) so AI agents can consume it directly — metered per fetch via the open
HTTP 402 payment protocol.
crawlerAutoPrice=true · verify at https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify
What the market asks and how it resolves
The market asks whether the Grizzlies or Kings win the NBA game scheduled for October 25 at 9:00PM ET, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Grizzlies win resolves to 'Grizzlies'; a Kings win resolves to 'Kings'. Postponed games keep the market open until completed, and a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. The event carries total volume of $1.85M and 24h volume of $2.33M across its 12 active markets.
How traders price it now and how it moved
The head-to-head market 'Grizzlies vs. Kings' trades at 62.5%, while the Spread -15.5 contract sits at 92.0%. Spread -13.5 is at 89.0% and Spread -11.5 at 86.5%, while Spread -4.5 trades at 52.5%. Spread -15.5 started at 51.0% over the last three half-day points, reached a high of 94.0% and a low of 51.0%, and shows a change of +41.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice.
How concentrated the odds are
Most race and prop contracts cluster near even odds: Race to 30 at 55.0%, Race to 20 at 54.0%, Race to 10 at 51.5%, O/U 235.5 at 50.5%, Odd/Even Score at 50.5%, Team to Score First at 50.0%, and Overtime? at 50.0%. The spread ladder is far more dispersed, running from 52.5% up to 92.0%. That gap suggests traders see a clearer expected margin than a clear winner or specific scoring pattern.
Current odds
| Market | Yes | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Spread -15.5 | 92.0% | $0 |
| Spread -13.5 | 89.0% | $0 |
| Spread -11.5 | 86.5% | $1.15 |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | 62.5% | $1.09M |
| Race to 30 | 55.0% | $0 |
| Race to 20 | 54.0% | $183.99 |
| Spread -4.5 | 52.5% | $102,791 |
| Race to 10 | 51.5% | $141.68 |
| Odd/Even Score | 50.5% | $0 |
| O/U 235.5 | 50.5% | $123,959 |
| Team to Score First | 50.0% | $0 |
| Overtime? | 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- Resolution uses the final score including any overtime periods, so overtime play directly determines the outcome.
- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.
- Only a Grizzlies or Kings win resolves the main market to 'Grizzlies' or 'Kings', so the winner alone decides it.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 9:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
Does overtime count toward the result?
Yes. The resolution text says the result is determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed. Only a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.
What do the percentages mean?
They are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on current trading. They are not forecasts or advice.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.