{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Grizzlies vs. Kings — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "The event lists 12 active markets on one NBA game. Prices are market-implied probabilities of Yes, and the main winner market sits at 62.5% for the Grizzlies. 12 markets, $1.85M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-mem-sac-2026-10-25.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-26",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.85M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$2.33M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -15.5 92.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-26"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Grizzlies vs. Kings",
    "slug": "nba-mem-sac-2026-10-25",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
    "volume_usd": 1849925.0810720003,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2331161.673917,
    "end_date": "2026-10-26T01:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -15.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.08
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.92
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.11
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.89
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -11.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.135
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.865
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1.149423
      },
      {
        "question": "Grizzlies vs. Kings",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.625
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.375
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1092986.8258070003
      },
      {
        "question": "Race to 30",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.55
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.45
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Race to 20",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.54
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.46
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 183.992759
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.475
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.525
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 102790.58194
      },
      {
        "question": "Race to 10",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.515
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.485
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 141.678571
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 235.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 123959.207009
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Grizzlies",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Kings",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Overtime?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.94
      },
      {
        "t": "10-26",
        "v": 0.92
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The market asks whether the Grizzlies or Kings win the NBA game scheduled for October 25 at 9:00PM ET, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Grizzlies win resolves to 'Grizzlies'; a Kings win resolves to 'Kings'. Postponed games keep the market open until completed, and a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. The event carries total volume of $1.85M and 24h volume of $2.33M across its 12 active markets."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The head-to-head market 'Grizzlies vs. Kings' trades at 62.5%, while the Spread -15.5 contract sits at 92.0%. Spread -13.5 is at 89.0% and Spread -11.5 at 86.5%, while Spread -4.5 trades at 52.5%. Spread -15.5 started at 51.0% over the last three half-day points, reached a high of 94.0% and a low of 51.0%, and shows a change of +41.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Most race and prop contracts cluster near even odds: Race to 30 at 55.0%, Race to 20 at 54.0%, Race to 10 at 51.5%, O/U 235.5 at 50.5%, Odd/Even Score at 50.5%, Team to Score First at 50.0%, and Overtime? at 50.0%. The spread ladder is far more dispersed, running from 52.5% up to 92.0%. That gap suggests traders see a clearer expected margin than a clear winner or specific scoring pattern."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "Resolution uses the final score including any overtime periods, so overtime play directly determines the outcome.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.",
      "Only a Grizzlies or Kings win resolves the main market to 'Grizzlies' or 'Kings', so the winner alone decides it."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Does overtime count toward the result?",
        "a": "Yes. The resolution text says the result is determined by the final score including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game has been completed. Only a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50."
      },
      {
        "q": "What do the percentages mean?",
        "a": "They are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on current trading. They are not forecasts or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "The event lists 12 active markets on one NBA game. Prices are market-implied probabilities of Yes, and the main winner market sits at 62.5% for the Grizzlies.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe market asks whether the Grizzlies or Kings win the NBA game scheduled for October 25 at 9:00PM ET, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods. A Grizzlies win resolves to 'Grizzlies'; a Kings win resolves to 'Kings'. Postponed games keep the market open until completed, and a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. The event carries total volume of $1.85M and 24h volume of $2.33M across its 12 active markets.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe head-to-head market 'Grizzlies vs. Kings' trades at 62.5%, while the Spread -15.5 contract sits at 92.0%. Spread -13.5 is at 89.0% and Spread -11.5 at 86.5%, while Spread -4.5 trades at 52.5%. Spread -15.5 started at 51.0% over the last three half-day points, reached a high of 94.0% and a low of 51.0%, and shows a change of +41.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nMost race and prop contracts cluster near even odds: Race to 30 at 55.0%, Race to 20 at 54.0%, Race to 10 at 51.5%, O/U 235.5 at 50.5%, Odd/Even Score at 50.5%, Team to Score First at 50.0%, and Overtime? at 50.0%. The spread ladder is far more dispersed, running from 52.5% up to 92.0%. That gap suggests traders see a clearer expected margin than a clear winner or specific scoring pattern.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -15.5: 92.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -13.5: 89.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -11.5: 86.5% (vol $1.15)\n- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 62.5% (vol $1.09M)\n- Race to 30: 55.0% (vol $0)\n- Race to 20: 54.0% (vol $183.99)\n- Spread -4.5: 52.5% (vol $102,791)\n- Race to 10: 51.5% (vol $141.68)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.5% (vol $0)\n- O/U 235.5: 50.5% (vol $123,959)\n- Team to Score First: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Overtime?: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- Resolution uses the final score including any overtime periods, so overtime play directly determines the outcome.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.\n- Only a Grizzlies or Kings win resolves the main market to 'Grizzlies' or 'Kings', so the winner alone decides it.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Does overtime count toward the result?**\nYes. The resolution text says the result is determined by the final score including any overtime periods.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market remains open until the game has been completed. Only a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.\n\n**What do the percentages mean?**\nThey are market-implied probabilities of Yes based on current trading. They are not forecasts or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Grizzlies vs. Kings on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-mem-sac-2026-10-25"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}