AgentFlarePrediction Markets · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Traders price Indiana and Michigan evenly at 50.0% each for the October 24 game
Traders price the Over and Under outcomes at an even 50.0% each, with no movement across the recent window. The market resolves on the game winner, with overtime included.
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What the market asks and how it resolves
The market asks which team wins the college football game between Indiana and Michigan, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET. A win by Indiana resolves it to Indiana, and a win by Michigan resolves it to Michigan. Overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50, a postponed game keeps the market open until completion, and a game canceled entirely with no make-up resolves 50-50. The listed outcomes are labeled Over and Under, which the resolution text maps to the winner.
How traders price it now and how it moved
Over is priced at 50.0% and Under at 50.0%, so traders are treating the two sides as even. Across the last 21 half-day points, Over started at 50.0%, is now 50.0%, and has held a high of 50.0% and a low of 50.0%, a change of +0.0 percentage points. The market has recorded $1.61M in total volume and $1.55M over the past 24 hours, all within one active market ending 2026-10-24.
How concentrated the odds are
The odds show no separation between outcomes, since both sit at the midpoint with no dispersion across the sampled window. Because the recorded high and low are identical, there is no visible swing in pricing during the period. Traders have not shifted toward either side, so the current figure reflects a balanced stance rather than a lean. Market-implied odds describe current pricing only and are not forecasts or advice.
Current odds
| Market | Leading | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | Over 50.0% | $0 |
What decides this market
- The game winner decides the market: an Indiana win resolves to Indiana and a Michigan win resolves to Michigan.
- Overtime is included if played, so extra periods can determine the outcome rather than a regulation result.
- A tie resolves 50-50, and a game canceled with no make-up also resolves 50-50, while a postponement keeps the market open.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Indiana and Michigan, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Quoted from the market's description on Polymarket.
FAQ
What happens if the game ends in a tie?
The market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie, so each side would settle at half its value rather than paying out to a single winner.
What if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. Resolution waits for the final result rather than closing early.
Do these odds predict the winner?
The 50.0% figures are market-implied probabilities from current trading. They reflect how traders are pricing the outcome now and are not forecasts or advice.
How this page is made. Odds, volume and price history come from the AISA Polymarket APIs (Gamma events and CLOB prices-history). The analysis is written by a language model from those numbers and the market’s own resolution text only — any figure not in that data is removed. Probabilities are what traders are paying, not forecasts.