AgentFlareUFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) — Live Odds & Analysis
Live Polymarket odds for "UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)": Fight won by decision? No 95%. 1 markets, $857,180.82 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.
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What the market is asking and current pricing
The event includes a binary market asking whether Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite will be won by decision. “Yes” covers unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions; “No” covers all other outcomes under the stated rules.[1] Current pricing is No at 95%, representing the market-implied probability—not a prediction—that the fight will not be decided. The market is scheduled to end on October 11, 2026.
What the odds and volume imply
Reported total volume is $857,180.82 across one active market. That level of trading indicates substantial participation, while the 95% No price reflects a strongly concentrated market view toward a non-decision resolution. It does not establish the eventual result or guarantee that the market will settle as currently priced. The odds could move with new trading, updated fight information, changes to the event schedule, or clarification of the official result. Under the provided context, a draw, technical draw, No Contest, unscored or canceled bout, or other specified nonstandard outcome would be governed by the market’s settlement rules.
Current market odds
| Market | Leading outcome | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fight won by decision? | No 95% | $669.25 |
Live data via the AISA Polymarket API. Updated 2026-10-11. View on Polymarket ↗