Georgia vs. Alabama — Live Odds & Analysis

What the market is asking and current pricing

The market asks whether Georgia will make at least two field goals of 40 or more yards against Alabama; “Over” resolves if Georgia records 1.5 or more such field goals, while “Under” resolves otherwise. Overtime counts if played.^[1] The current price places Over 1.5 above 50%, making it the market-implied favorite, but only narrowly. The event is listed with approximately $2.87 million in volume, one active market, and an October 10, 2026 end date.

What the odds and volume imply

A price just above 50% indicates near-even market expectations rather than a strong consensus. The reported volume suggests substantial trading interest, but volume alone does not establish accuracy, conviction, or the direction of informed trading. The market-implied probability could move with updates affecting Georgia’s expected scoring opportunities, field-goal strategy, kicker availability, weather, game conditions, or lineup news. It could also shift as traders react to related game markets or new information before settlement. No independent probability or prediction is implied by the quoted price.

Current market odds

Live data via the AISA Polymarket API. Updated 2026-10-11. View on Polymarket ↗