{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)\": Fight won by decision? No 95%. 1 markets, $857,180.82 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/ufc-mel1-ern2-2026-10-10.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-11",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-11T09:08:33.065Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$857,180.82"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$826,594.87"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "1"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "No 95%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-11"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)",
    "slug": "ufc-mel1-ern2-2026-10-10",
    "volume_usd": 857180.8241440001,
    "volume_24h_usd": 826594.8742450009,
    "end_date": "2026-10-11T03:59:59.999Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Fight won by decision?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.95
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.05
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 669.2469609999999
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "UFC",
      "Games"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and current pricing\n\nThe event includes a binary market asking whether Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite will be **won by decision**. “Yes” covers unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions; “No” covers all other outcomes under the stated rules.[1] Current pricing is **No at 95%**, representing the market-implied probability—not a prediction—that the fight will not be decided. The market is scheduled to end on October 11, 2026.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply\n\nReported total volume is **$857,180.82** across one active market. That level of trading indicates substantial participation, while the 95% No price reflects a strongly concentrated market view toward a non-decision resolution. It does not establish the eventual result or guarantee that the market will settle as currently priced. The odds could move with new trading, updated fight information, changes to the event schedule, or clarification of the official result. Under the provided context, a draw, technical draw, No Contest, unscored or canceled bout, or other specified nonstandard outcome would be governed by the market’s settlement rules.\n\n- Fight won by decision?: No 95% (vol $669.25)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/ufc/ufc-mel1-ern2-2026-10-10"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/sports/ufc/ufc-ernkar-melgat-2026-10-10"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-mel1-ern2-2026-10-10"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/ufc/games"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
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  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}