{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Chiefs vs. Seahawks — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Traders price the Chiefs at 58.5% to win outright and at 91.0% to win by more than 13.5 points. The event has $6.34M in total volume across 12 active markets. 12 markets, $6.34M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nfl-kc-sea-2026-10-26.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-26",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$6.34M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$5.78M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -13.5 91.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-26"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Chiefs vs. Seahawks",
    "slug": "nfl-kc-sea-2026-10-26",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
    "volume_usd": 6335265.697041,
    "volume_24h_usd": 5776370.107335,
    "end_date": "2026-10-26T00:20:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.09
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.91
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 68110.094611
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.11
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.89
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 23843.566273999997
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -9.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.125
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.875
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 19546.923007
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -8.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.135
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.865
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 238.783795
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.15
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.85
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1519.614487
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.21
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.79
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 50355.83367
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.23
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.77
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 15564.096318
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.25
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.75
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 404.19513400000005
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.28
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.72
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 803971.5890830001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.365
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.635
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 31249.069409999996
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.39
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.61
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 6098.844345
      },
      {
        "question": "Chiefs vs. Seahawks",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Chiefs",
            "prob": 0.415
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Seahawks",
            "prob": 0.585
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3395865.7230240004
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "09-26",
        "v": 0.815
      },
      {
        "t": "09-27",
        "v": 0.815
      },
      {
        "t": "09-27",
        "v": 0.815
      },
      {
        "t": "09-28",
        "v": 0.815
      },
      {
        "t": "09-28",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.805
      },
      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.8
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.795
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.795
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.795
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.795
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.795
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.79
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.79
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.79
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.79
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.79
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.885
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.89
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.89
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.9
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.915
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.905
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.91
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.895
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.89
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.875
      },
      {
        "t": "10-26",
        "v": 0.91
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The event covers one NFL game between the Chiefs and Seahawks, scheduled for October 25 at 8:20PM ET. Each market resolves to the team that wins the game, and overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50, as does a cancellation with no make-up game. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed. Total volume stands at $6.34M across 12 active markets, with $5.78M traded in the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The Chiefs win market is at 58.5%, while the Spread -13.5 line sits at 91.0%. That line has risen 9.5 percentage points over the last 56 half-day points, starting at 81.5% and reaching a high of 91.5%. Its low was 79.0%. The move has been upward across the window, and the current price sits near the high. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Probabilities fall steadily as the spread narrows, from 91.0% at Spread -13.5 to 61.0% at Spread -1.5, while the Chiefs win market sits at 58.5%. The steepest gap appears between Spread -3.5 at 72.0% and Spread -2.5 at 63.5%. Traders price a larger Chiefs margin as more likely than a narrow one, though these figures reflect market prices only."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final result decides it: a Chiefs win resolves the Chiefs market and a Seahawks win resolves the Seahawks market.",
      "Overtime is included if played, so extra periods do not change the resolution rule.",
      "A tie or a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, while a postponed game stays open until completed."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Who decides this market's outcome?",
        "a": "The final result of the October 25 game decides it. A Chiefs win resolves the Chiefs market and a Seahawks win resolves the Seahawks market. Overtime counts if played."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed or canceled?",
        "a": "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50."
      },
      {
        "q": "What do the percentages represent?",
        "a": "They are market-implied probabilities of a Yes outcome, reflecting current trader prices on Polymarket. They are not forecasts or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NFL (All)",
      "Games"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Traders price the Chiefs at 58.5% to win outright and at 91.0% to win by more than 13.5 points. The event has $6.34M in total volume across 12 active markets.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe event covers one NFL game between the Chiefs and Seahawks, scheduled for October 25 at 8:20PM ET. Each market resolves to the team that wins the game, and overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50, as does a cancellation with no make-up game. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed. Total volume stands at $6.34M across 12 active markets, with $5.78M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe Chiefs win market is at 58.5%, while the Spread -13.5 line sits at 91.0%. That line has risen 9.5 percentage points over the last 56 half-day points, starting at 81.5% and reaching a high of 91.5%. Its low was 79.0%. The move has been upward across the window, and the current price sits near the high. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nProbabilities fall steadily as the spread narrows, from 91.0% at Spread -13.5 to 61.0% at Spread -1.5, while the Chiefs win market sits at 58.5%. The steepest gap appears between Spread -3.5 at 72.0% and Spread -2.5 at 63.5%. Traders price a larger Chiefs margin as more likely than a narrow one, though these figures reflect market prices only.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -13.5: 91.0% (vol $68,110)\n- Spread -10.5: 89.0% (vol $23,844)\n- Spread -9.5: 87.5% (vol $19,547)\n- Spread -8.5: 86.5% (vol $238.78)\n- Spread -7.5: 85.0% (vol $1,519.61)\n- Spread -6.5: 79.0% (vol $50,356)\n- Spread -5.5: 77.0% (vol $15,564)\n- Spread -4.5: 75.0% (vol $404.20)\n- Spread -3.5: 72.0% (vol $803,972)\n- Spread -2.5: 63.5% (vol $31,249)\n- Spread -1.5: 61.0% (vol $6,098.84)\n- Chiefs vs. Seahawks: 58.5% (vol $3.40M)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final result decides it: a Chiefs win resolves the Chiefs market and a Seahawks win resolves the Seahawks market.\n- Overtime is included if played, so extra periods do not change the resolution rule.\n- A tie or a cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, while a postponed game stays open until completed.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Who decides this market's outcome?**\nThe final result of the October 25 game decides it. A Chiefs win resolves the Chiefs market and a Seahawks win resolves the Seahawks market. Overtime counts if played.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed or canceled?**\nA postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50.\n\n**What do the percentages represent?**\nThey are market-implied probabilities of a Yes outcome, reflecting current trader prices on Polymarket. They are not forecasts or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Chiefs vs. Seahawks on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-sea-2026-10-26"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}