{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Bills vs. Rams — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket odds put the Bills ahead of the Rams at 77.5% for the October 12 NFL game. Most totals and spread lines also trade at high implied odds. 12 markets, $8.46M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nfl-buf-la-2026-10-13.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-13",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-13T06:10:14.393Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$8.46M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$7.88M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "O/U 52.5 100.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-13"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Bills vs. Rams",
    "slug": "nfl-buf-la-2026-10-13",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-13T06:10:14.393Z",
    "volume_usd": 8461210.999347998,
    "volume_24h_usd": 7884525.705142036,
    "end_date": "2026-10-13T00:15:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "O/U 52.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 154461.41423400005
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 54.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 312262.46006
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 56.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 46798.760313000006
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 58.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 5289.655528000001
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 60.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 49392.40901099999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.0095
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.9905
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 75966.022967
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.0605
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.9395
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 160095.714534
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.069
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.931
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 22848.302601000003
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.1
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.9
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1430268.8448700004
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.155
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.845
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 66901.01044900001
      },
      {
        "question": "Bills vs. Rams",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Bills",
            "prob": 0.775
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Rams",
            "prob": 0.225
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 4343441.061289998
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 62.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.475
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.525
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 30095.69252
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "09-13",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-14",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-14",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-15",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-15",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-16",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-16",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-17",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-17",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-18",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-18",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-19",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-19",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-20",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-21",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-21",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-22",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-22",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-23",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-23",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-24",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-24",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-25",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-25",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-26",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-26",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-27",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-27",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-28",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-28",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "09-29",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "09-30",
        "v": 0.51
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      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-01",
        "v": 0.51
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      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.51
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      {
        "t": "10-02",
        "v": 0.51
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      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.51
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      {
        "t": "10-03",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.505
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      {
        "t": "10-04",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.5
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      {
        "t": "10-05",
        "v": 0.54
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.555
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.55
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      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.55
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      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.55
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      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.555
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      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.555
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      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.555
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      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.565
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      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.56
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      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.565
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      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.585
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      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.9995
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    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "This market asks who wins the NFL game between the Bills and the Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET. It resolves to 'Bills' if the Bills win and to 'Rams' if the Rams win. Overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it and how it moved",
        "body": "The Bills vs. Rams win market prices Bills at 77.5%. Across the event, spread markets range from 84.5% to 99.1%. The O/U 52.5 line started at 50.0%, now sits at 100.0%, with a high of 100.0% and low of 50.0% across the last 57 half-day points, a change of +50.0 percentage points. Total volume is $8.46M, with $7.88M traded in the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Most of the event sits at the extremes. Totals O/U 52.5, 54.5 and 56.5 each show 100.0%, while O/U 58.5 and O/U 60.5 show 99.5%. Only O/U 62.5 sits near the middle at 52.5%. Spreads cluster between 84.5% and 99.1%, suggesting traders lean decisively on most lines. Prices this high reflect a one-sided market view, and they are implied odds, not forecasts."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The market pays 'Bills' if the Bills win and 'Rams' if the Rams win, with overtime included if played.",
      "A tie resolves 50-50, and a cancellation with no make-up game also resolves 50-50.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does the Bills vs. Rams market pay out on?",
        "a": "It pays 'Bills' if the Bills win and 'Rams' if the Rams win, with overtime included if played. Ties and games canceled with no make-up resolve 50-50."
      },
      {
        "q": "What does the 77.5% figure for Bills mean?",
        "a": "The 77.5% is the market-implied probability that the Bills win, based on current trading prices. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game has been completed. The event shows total volume of $8.46M, with $7.88M traded in the last 24 hours."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NFL (All)",
      "Games",
      "NFL"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket odds put the Bills ahead of the Rams at 77.5% for the October 12 NFL game. Most totals and spread lines also trade at high implied odds.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThis market asks who wins the NFL game between the Bills and the Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET. It resolves to 'Bills' if the Bills win and to 'Rams' if the Rams win. Overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.\n\n## How traders price it and how it moved\n\nThe Bills vs. Rams win market prices Bills at 77.5%. Across the event, spread markets range from 84.5% to 99.1%. The O/U 52.5 line started at 50.0%, now sits at 100.0%, with a high of 100.0% and low of 50.0% across the last 57 half-day points, a change of +50.0 percentage points. Total volume is $8.46M, with $7.88M traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nMost of the event sits at the extremes. Totals O/U 52.5, 54.5 and 56.5 each show 100.0%, while O/U 58.5 and O/U 60.5 show 99.5%. Only O/U 62.5 sits near the middle at 52.5%. Spreads cluster between 84.5% and 99.1%, suggesting traders lean decisively on most lines. Prices this high reflect a one-sided market view, and they are implied odds, not forecasts.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- O/U 52.5: 100.0% (vol $154,461)\n- O/U 54.5: 100.0% (vol $312,262)\n- O/U 56.5: 100.0% (vol $46,799)\n- O/U 58.5: 99.5% (vol $5,289.66)\n- O/U 60.5: 99.5% (vol $49,392)\n- Spread -7.5: 99.1% (vol $75,966)\n- Spread -4.5: 94.0% (vol $160,096)\n- Spread -6.5: 93.1% (vol $22,848)\n- Spread -3.5: 90.0% (vol $1.43M)\n- Spread -1.5: 84.5% (vol $66,901)\n- Bills vs. Rams: 77.5% (vol $4.34M)\n- O/U 62.5: 52.5% (vol $30,096)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The market pays 'Bills' if the Bills win and 'Rams' if the Rams win, with overtime included if played.\n- A tie resolves 50-50, and a cancellation with no make-up game also resolves 50-50.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does the Bills vs. Rams market pay out on?**\nIt pays 'Bills' if the Bills win and 'Rams' if the Rams win, with overtime included if played. Ties and games canceled with no make-up resolve 50-50.\n\n**What does the 77.5% figure for Bills mean?**\nThe 77.5% is the market-implied probability that the Bills win, based on current trading prices. It reflects where traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market remains open until the game has been completed. The event shows total volume of $8.46M, with $7.88M traded in the last 24 hours.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Bills vs. Rams on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-la-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
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  "pricing": {
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    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
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  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}