{ "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema", "type": "Event", "tier": "L2-full", "title": "Ravens vs. Falcons — Live Odds & Analysis", "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Ravens vs. Falcons\": O/U 31.5 Over 100%. 12 markets, $5.32M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.", "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nfl-bal-atl-2026-10-12.html", "category": "predictions", "updated": "2026-10-12", "generated_at": "2026-10-12T02:45:44.680Z", "facts": [ { "label": "Total volume", "value": "$5.32M" }, { "label": "24h volume", "value": "$5.12M" }, { "label": "Markets", "value": "12" }, { "label": "Leading", "value": "Over 100%" }, { "label": "Ends", "value": "2026-10-12" } ], "data": { "event": "Ravens vs. Falcons", "slug": "nfl-bal-atl-2026-10-12", "volume_usd": 5322403.869452001, "volume_24h_usd": 5118205.454036, "end_date": "2026-10-12T00:20:00Z", "markets": [ { "question": "O/U 31.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.995 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.005 } ], "volume_usd": 1079.8496550000002 }, { "question": "O/U 33.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.97 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.03 } ], "volume_usd": 56.397588 }, { "question": "Spread -7.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.953 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.047 } ], "volume_usd": 933.3709859999999 }, { "question": "O/U 37.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.9 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.1 } ], "volume_usd": 1565.407473 }, { "question": "Spread -6.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.895 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.105 } ], "volume_usd": 4315.231675 }, { "question": "Spread -4.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.845 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.155 } ], "volume_usd": 7184.514523 }, { "question": "Spread -3.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.79 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.21 } ], "volume_usd": 84688.325282 }, { "question": "Spread -1.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.665 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.335 } ], "volume_usd": 10757.831782 }, { "question": "Ravens vs. Falcons", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Falcons", "prob": 0.645 }, { "outcome": "Ravens", "prob": 0.355 } ], "volume_usd": 3841102.8895780006 }, { "question": "O/U 35.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.51 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.49 } ], "volume_usd": 0 }, { "question": "O/U 27.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.5005 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.4995 } ], "volume_usd": 0 }, { "question": "O/U 29.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Over", "prob": 0.5005 }, { "outcome": "Under", "prob": 0.4995 } ], "volume_usd": 0 } ], "tags": [ "Sports", "NFL (All)", "Games", "NFL" ] }, "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are pricing it\n\nThe Polymarket event asks which team wins the Ravens–Falcons game scheduled for October 11 at 8:20 p.m. ET. Overtime counts; a tie resolves 50–50, while a postponement keeps the market open until completion. The event has **$5.32 million in total volume**, 12 active markets, and ends October 12, 2026. The supplied prices show strong support for Atlanta across spread thresholds: Falcons are priced at 67% implied probability at -1.5, rising to 95% at -7.5. Totals also lean heavily over: Over 31.5 is 100%, Over 33.5 is 97%, and Over 37.5 is 90%.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nTaken strictly as market-implied probabilities—not forecasts—the prices indicate traders currently assign high likelihood to a Falcons win by at least several points and to a game total above the listed thresholds. The large volume suggests substantial trading activity, but it does not establish that the market is correct or that the prices are independent across related lines. Odds could move with new information about player availability, injuries, weather, lineup news, or in-game developments. They may also shift as traders update positions, liquidity changes, or the game approaches resolution.\n\n- O/U 31.5: Over 100% (vol $1,079.85)\n- O/U 33.5: Over 97% (vol $56.4)\n- Spread -7.5: Falcons 95% (vol $933.37)\n- O/U 37.5: Over 90% (vol $1,565.41)\n- Spread -6.5: Falcons 90% (vol $4,315.23)\n- Spread -4.5: Falcons 85% (vol $7,184.51)\n- Spread -3.5: Falcons 79% (vol $84,688.33)\n- Spread -1.5: Falcons 67% (vol $10,757.83)\n- Ravens vs. Falcons: Falcons 65% (vol $3.84M)\n- O/U 35.5: Over 51% (vol $0)\n- O/U 27.5: Over 50% (vol $0)\n- O/U 29.5: Over 50% (vol $0)", "sources": [ { "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/nfl/nfl-bal-atl-2026-10-12" }, { "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/football/games" }, { "url": "https://polymarket.com/" }, { "url": "https://polymarket.com/combos/sports/nfl" }, { "title": "Polymarket via AISA API", "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events" } ], "related": [ { "name": "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028.html" }, { "name": "Next French Presidential Election", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/next-french-presidential-election.html" }, { "name": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/balance-of-power-2026-midterms.html" }, { "name": "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/mlb-lad-mil-2026-10-11.html" } ], "pricing": { "price_usd": 0.01, "method": "402", "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify", "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token", "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html" }, "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)" }