{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Raptors vs. Timberwolves — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Prices show strong trader confidence in the Raptors across the spread and main-line markets. The odds are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice. 12 markets, $4.70M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-tor-min-2026-10-25.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-26",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$4.70M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$4.74M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -5.5 97.6%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-25"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Raptors vs. Timberwolves",
    "slug": "nba-tor-min-2026-10-25",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
    "volume_usd": 4697178.721735001,
    "volume_24h_usd": 4737115.586400001,
    "end_date": "2026-10-25T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.024
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.976
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2403.9698040000003
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.0245
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.9755
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 10222.938216
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 239.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.025
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.975
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3736.8956749999998
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.025
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.975
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 71168.210823
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.03
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.97
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 255654.16442699992
      },
      {
        "question": "Raptors vs. Timberwolves",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.035
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.965
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3113992.587003001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.035
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.965
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 295.623474
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 235.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.055
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.945
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2713.66314
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.935
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.065
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 40427.71992400001
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Raptors",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Overtime?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.775
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.655
      },
      {
        "t": "10-26",
        "v": 0.9805
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "This event covers the NBA game between the Raptors and Timberwolves scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET, with 12 active markets tied to it. The core market resolves to 'Raptors' if the Raptors win and to 'Timberwolves' if the Timberwolves win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, while a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $4.70M across the event."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The Spread -5.5 contract is priced at 98.0%, which is its high over the recent window. It started at 77.5% and bottomed at 65.5%, a change of +20.6 percentage points over the last three half-day points. The main matchup market sits at 96.5%, and several spread lines sit between 96.5% and 97.6%, indicating broad agreement on a clear favorite."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Most spread and main-line contracts cluster near the top of the board, while the O/U 235.5 line sits at 94.5% and the O/U 239.5 line at 97.5%. Team to Score First, Odd/Even Score and Overtime? each show 50.0%, a level that reads as an even split rather than a lean. Volume reached $4.74M in the last 24 hours against $4.70M total."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The resolution names 'Raptors' or 'Timberwolves' based on the final winner, including any overtime periods in the score.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so scheduling changes can extend the resolution timeline.",
      "A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the current favorite pricing."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does a 96.5% price mean?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability that the Yes outcome resolves, reflecting trader pricing at the time of the data. It is not a forecast or advice, and it can change as trading continues."
      },
      {
        "q": "How is a postponed game handled?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game is completed. Resolution then follows the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "q": "When does the market resolve 50-50?",
        "a": "Only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. In that case the market settles at 50-50 rather than to either team."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Prices show strong trader confidence in the Raptors across the spread and main-line markets. The odds are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThis event covers the NBA game between the Raptors and Timberwolves scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET, with 12 active markets tied to it. The core market resolves to 'Raptors' if the Raptors win and to 'Timberwolves' if the Timberwolves win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, while a game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50. Total volume stands at $4.70M across the event.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe Spread -5.5 contract is priced at 98.0%, which is its high over the recent window. It started at 77.5% and bottomed at 65.5%, a change of +20.6 percentage points over the last three half-day points. The main matchup market sits at 96.5%, and several spread lines sit between 96.5% and 97.6%, indicating broad agreement on a clear favorite.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nMost spread and main-line contracts cluster near the top of the board, while the O/U 235.5 line sits at 94.5% and the O/U 239.5 line at 97.5%. Team to Score First, Odd/Even Score and Overtime? each show 50.0%, a level that reads as an even split rather than a lean. Volume reached $4.74M in the last 24 hours against $4.70M total.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -5.5: 97.6% (vol $2,403.97)\n- Spread -4.5: 97.5% (vol $10,223)\n- O/U 239.5: 97.5% (vol $3,736.90)\n- Spread -2.5: 97.5% (vol $71,168)\n- Spread -1.5: 97.0% (vol $255,654)\n- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 96.5% (vol $3.11M)\n- Spread -6.5: 96.5% (vol $295.62)\n- O/U 235.5: 94.5% (vol $2,713.66)\n- Spread -2.5: 93.5% (vol $40,428)\n- Team to Score First: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Overtime?: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The resolution names 'Raptors' or 'Timberwolves' based on the final winner, including any overtime periods in the score.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed, so scheduling changes can extend the resolution timeline.\n- A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which would override the current favorite pricing.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does a 96.5% price mean?**\nIt is the market-implied probability that the Yes outcome resolves, reflecting trader pricing at the time of the data. It is not a forecast or advice, and it can change as trading continues.\n\n**How is a postponed game handled?**\nThe market remains open until the game is completed. Resolution then follows the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n**When does the market resolve 50-50?**\nOnly if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. In that case the market settles at 50-50 rather than to either team.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Raptors vs. Timberwolves on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-tor-min-2026-10-25"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}