{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Magic vs. Knicks — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket traders put the Magic at 81.5% to beat the Knicks in the October 25 game. Spread contracts cluster near certainty, led by Spread -14.5 at 98.6%. 12 markets, $1.88M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-orl-nyk-2026-10-25.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-26",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.88M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.92M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -14.5 98.6%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-25"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Magic vs. Knicks",
    "slug": "nba-orl-nyk-2026-10-25",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-26T00:37:02.364Z",
    "volume_usd": 1883316.741638,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1922794.2915119997,
    "end_date": "2026-10-25T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.0145
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.9855
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 61.259823
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.0165
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.9835
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -12.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.017
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.983
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 9.94
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 226.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.0385
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.9615
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3633.1792679999994
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.045
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.955
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.08
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.92
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 7937.090074000002
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.12
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.88
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 192.89873200000002
      },
      {
        "question": "Magic vs. Knicks",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.185
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.815
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1046640.8457539999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.495
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.505
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 404562.24513299996
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Knicks",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Overtime?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.51
      },
      {
        "t": "10-25",
        "v": 0.955
      },
      {
        "t": "10-26",
        "v": 0.9865
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The moneyline market asks whether the Magic will beat the Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves 'Magic' if the Magic win and 'Knicks' if the Knicks win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The event has total volume of $1.88M, 24h volume of $1.92M, 12 active markets, and ends 2026-10-25."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The Magic vs. Knicks market shows 81.5% implied probability of Yes. The most-priced spread line, Spread -14.5, sits at 98.6%. Its history over the last 3 half-day points started at 51.0%, reached 98.7% now, with a high of 98.7% and a low of 51.0%. That is a change of +47.7 percentage points. Traders have moved sharply toward a large Magic margin over this window."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Odds are highly concentrated at the top of the board. Spread -10.5 is at 98.4%, Spread -12.5 at 98.3%, O/U 226.5 at 96.2%, Spread -6.5 at 95.5%, Spread -4.5 at 92.0%, and Spread -2.5 at 88.0%. Spread -7.5 sits at 50.5%, while Team to Score First, Odd/Even Score, and Overtime? are each at 50.0%. Those near-even props show little directional conviction compared with the spread lines."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final score, including any overtime periods, alone determines whether the market resolves Magic or Knicks.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until completion; a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.",
      "The scheduled date and time, October 25 at 7:00PM ET, define the specific contest these prices refer to."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market stays open until the game has been completed, so trading can continue until a final result exists under the resolution text."
      },
      {
        "q": "What does 81.5% mean here?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability of Yes for the Magic vs. Knicks market, reflecting trader pricing rather than a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "How is a full cancellation settled?",
        "a": "If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 according to its resolution text."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket traders put the Magic at 81.5% to beat the Knicks in the October 25 game. Spread contracts cluster near certainty, led by Spread -14.5 at 98.6%.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe moneyline market asks whether the Magic will beat the Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves 'Magic' if the Magic win and 'Knicks' if the Knicks win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. A postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The event has total volume of $1.88M, 24h volume of $1.92M, 12 active markets, and ends 2026-10-25.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe Magic vs. Knicks market shows 81.5% implied probability of Yes. The most-priced spread line, Spread -14.5, sits at 98.6%. Its history over the last 3 half-day points started at 51.0%, reached 98.7% now, with a high of 98.7% and a low of 51.0%. That is a change of +47.7 percentage points. Traders have moved sharply toward a large Magic margin over this window.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nOdds are highly concentrated at the top of the board. Spread -10.5 is at 98.4%, Spread -12.5 at 98.3%, O/U 226.5 at 96.2%, Spread -6.5 at 95.5%, Spread -4.5 at 92.0%, and Spread -2.5 at 88.0%. Spread -7.5 sits at 50.5%, while Team to Score First, Odd/Even Score, and Overtime? are each at 50.0%. Those near-even props show little directional conviction compared with the spread lines.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -14.5: 98.6% (vol $61.26)\n- Spread -10.5: 98.4% (vol $0)\n- Spread -12.5: 98.3% (vol $9.94)\n- O/U 226.5: 96.2% (vol $3,633.18)\n- Spread -6.5: 95.5% (vol $0)\n- Spread -4.5: 92.0% (vol $7,937.09)\n- Spread -2.5: 88.0% (vol $192.90)\n- Magic vs. Knicks: 81.5% (vol $1.05M)\n- Spread -7.5: 50.5% (vol $404,562)\n- Team to Score First: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Overtime?: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final score, including any overtime periods, alone determines whether the market resolves Magic or Knicks.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion; a full cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50.\n- The scheduled date and time, October 25 at 7:00PM ET, define the specific contest these prices refer to.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market stays open until the game has been completed, so trading can continue until a final result exists under the resolution text.\n\n**What does 81.5% mean here?**\nIt is the market-implied probability of Yes for the Magic vs. Knicks market, reflecting trader pricing rather than a forecast or advice.\n\n**How is a full cancellation settled?**\nIf the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 according to its resolution text.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Magic vs. Knicks on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-nyk-2026-10-25"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}