{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Timberwolves vs. Magic — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket's Timberwolves vs. Magic markets show Minnesota as a strong favorite, with the winner market implying 95.5%. Total volume is $2.52M across 12 active markets. 12 markets, $2.52M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-min-orl-2026-10-23.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-24",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$2.52M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$2.52M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -12.5 99.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-23"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Timberwolves vs. Magic",
    "slug": "nba-min-orl-2026-10-23",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-24T00:37:01.949Z",
    "volume_usd": 2524261.6392820003,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2524355.8626890006,
    "end_date": "2026-10-23T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -12.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.0105
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.9895
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2608.8301149999998
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 237.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.019
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.981
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 18145.774500000003
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.0195
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.9805
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3632.5915599999994
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -9.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.025
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.975
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 338.9725
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.03
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.97
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 23259.783269000003
      },
      {
        "question": "Timberwolves vs. Magic",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.955
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.045
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1269247.7223170002
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.045
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.955
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 432319.20553000004
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.935
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.065
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 219534.85898199995
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.91
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.09
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 67063.902556
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.895
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.105
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 26417.111203999997
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Timberwolves",
            "prob": 0.505
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Magic",
            "prob": 0.495
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.845
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.855
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.964
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The core market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Timberwolves' if Minnesota wins and to 'Magic' if Orlando wins, based on the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Other markets on the event cover point spreads, a 237.5 total, first team to score and odd/even score."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it and how it moved",
        "body": "The Timberwolves vs. Magic winner market implies 95.5% for Yes. The spread market for a 12.5 point Timberwolves margin moved from 84.5% to 96.4% over the last three half-day points, up 11.9 percentage points, and it currently sits at its high of 96.4%. The 237.5 over/under is priced at 98.1%. Total volume is $2.52M, all of it within the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Most spread lines sit between 89.5% and 99.0%, showing broad agreement on a Timberwolves edge across margins. Markets such as Team to Score First at 50.5% and Odd/Even Score at 50.0% sit near even odds, showing little conviction either way. With 12 active markets sharing $2.52M in volume, the clearest price signal sits in the winner and spread lines."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The winner resolves on the final score, including any overtime periods.",
      "A postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed.",
      "A full cancellation with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Does a postponed game void the market?",
        "a": "No. The resolution text says the market remains open until the game has been completed, so it can still resolve to Timberwolves or Magic."
      },
      {
        "q": "What does 95.5% mean here?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability of Yes for the Timberwolves vs. Magic market. It reflects current trader pricing and is not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is canceled?",
        "a": "If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated resolution text."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket's Timberwolves vs. Magic markets show Minnesota as a strong favorite, with the winner market implying 95.5%. Total volume is $2.52M across 12 active markets.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe core market asks who wins the NBA game scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to 'Timberwolves' if Minnesota wins and to 'Magic' if Orlando wins, based on the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Other markets on the event cover point spreads, a 237.5 total, first team to score and odd/even score.\n\n## How traders price it and how it moved\n\nThe Timberwolves vs. Magic winner market implies 95.5% for Yes. The spread market for a 12.5 point Timberwolves margin moved from 84.5% to 96.4% over the last three half-day points, up 11.9 percentage points, and it currently sits at its high of 96.4%. The 237.5 over/under is priced at 98.1%. Total volume is $2.52M, all of it within the last 24 hours.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nMost spread lines sit between 89.5% and 99.0%, showing broad agreement on a Timberwolves edge across margins. Markets such as Team to Score First at 50.5% and Odd/Even Score at 50.0% sit near even odds, showing little conviction either way. With 12 active markets sharing $2.52M in volume, the clearest price signal sits in the winner and spread lines.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -12.5: 99.0% (vol $2,608.83)\n- O/U 237.5: 98.1% (vol $18,146)\n- Spread -6.5: 98.0% (vol $3,632.59)\n- Spread -9.5: 97.5% (vol $338.97)\n- Spread -3.5: 97.0% (vol $23,260)\n- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 95.5% (vol $1.27M)\n- Spread -1.5: 95.5% (vol $432,319)\n- Spread -1.5: 93.5% (vol $219,535)\n- Spread -3.5: 91.0% (vol $67,064)\n- Spread -4.5: 89.5% (vol $26,417)\n- Team to Score First: 50.5% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The winner resolves on the final score, including any overtime periods.\n- A postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed.\n- A full cancellation with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Does a postponed game void the market?**\nNo. The resolution text says the market remains open until the game has been completed, so it can still resolve to Timberwolves or Magic.\n\n**What does 95.5% mean here?**\nIt is the market-implied probability of Yes for the Timberwolves vs. Magic market. It reflects current trader pricing and is not a forecast or advice.\n\n**What happens if the game is canceled?**\nIf the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated resolution text.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Timberwolves vs. Magic on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-min-orl-2026-10-23"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}