{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Cavaliers vs. 76ers — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket odds for the Cavaliers-76ers game show the Cavaliers favored at 78.5% on the moneyline, with the Spread -17.5 contract up sharply over the last five half-day points. These are market-implied probabilities. 12 markets, $7.15M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-cle-phi-2026-10-22.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-23",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:01.392Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$7.15M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$7.35M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -17.5 99.8%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-22"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Cavaliers vs. 76ers",
    "slug": "nba-cle-phi-2026-10-22",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-23T00:37:01.392Z",
    "volume_usd": 7146728.189962,
    "volume_24h_usd": 7349894.033295005,
    "end_date": "2026-10-22T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -17.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.0025
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.9975
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2630.395643
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.003
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.997
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3653.88354
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -11.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.0045
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.9955
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 4586.012515
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.1405
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.8595
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 371775.54286900006
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread: 76ers (-2.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.1615
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.8385
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 458751.96729199996
      },
      {
        "question": "Cavaliers vs. 76ers",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.785
          },
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.215
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 4984393.756049
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 234.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.71
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.29
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 14180.804126999996
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 233.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.7
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.3
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 31626.850133000004
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 235.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.665
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.335
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 102215.12632199998
      },
      {
        "question": "Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.635
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.365
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 174796.530824
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Cavaliers",
            "prob": 0.505
          },
          {
            "outcome": "76ers",
            "prob": 0.495
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.525
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.895
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.87
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.995
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.9975
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "This market asks who wins the NBA game between the Cavaliers and the 76ers, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET. If the Cavaliers win, it resolves to 'Cavaliers'; if the 76ers win, it resolves to '76ers'. A postponed game keeps the market open until completion. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The result uses the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it and how it moved",
        "body": "The moneyline 'Cavaliers vs. 76ers' contract trades at 78.5%, and the Team to Score First market sits at 50.5%. The 'Spread -17.5' contract has moved the most. It started the last five half-day points at 52.5%, now sits at 99.8%, and rose 47.3 percentage points, with a high of 99.8% and a low of 52.5%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "The negative-number spreads cluster at the top of the board: Spread -17.5 at 99.8%, Spread -14.5 at 99.7%, Spread -11.5 at 99.6%, and Spread -3.5 at 86.0%. The over/under lines range from 63.5% for O/U 236.5 to 71.0% for O/U 234.5. Team to Score First at 50.5% and Odd/Even Score at 50.0% sit near even odds."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "Only the final score decides, including any overtime periods, so margin-based contracts depend on the exact result.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, so timing can delay resolution.",
      "A cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which pins the outcome to a neutral price."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does 78.5% mean on the moneyline?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability that the Cavaliers win, based on current trading. It reflects how traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market stays open until the game has been completed, according to the resolution text. Resolution then follows the final score, including any overtime periods."
      },
      {
        "q": "How does the Spread -17.5 market differ from the moneyline?",
        "a": "It is tied to the margin of victory rather than only the winner. Its implied probability rose 47.3 percentage points over the last five half-day points, to 99.8%."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball",
      "NBA Tip-Off"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket odds for the Cavaliers-76ers game show the Cavaliers favored at 78.5% on the moneyline, with the Spread -17.5 contract up sharply over the last five half-day points. These are market-implied probabilities.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThis market asks who wins the NBA game between the Cavaliers and the 76ers, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET. If the Cavaliers win, it resolves to 'Cavaliers'; if the 76ers win, it resolves to '76ers'. A postponed game keeps the market open until completion. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The result uses the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n## How traders price it and how it moved\n\nThe moneyline 'Cavaliers vs. 76ers' contract trades at 78.5%, and the Team to Score First market sits at 50.5%. The 'Spread -17.5' contract has moved the most. It started the last five half-day points at 52.5%, now sits at 99.8%, and rose 47.3 percentage points, with a high of 99.8% and a low of 52.5%. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts or advice.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nThe negative-number spreads cluster at the top of the board: Spread -17.5 at 99.8%, Spread -14.5 at 99.7%, Spread -11.5 at 99.6%, and Spread -3.5 at 86.0%. The over/under lines range from 63.5% for O/U 236.5 to 71.0% for O/U 234.5. Team to Score First at 50.5% and Odd/Even Score at 50.0% sit near even odds.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -17.5: 99.8% (vol $2,630.40)\n- Spread -14.5: 99.7% (vol $3,653.88)\n- Spread -11.5: 99.6% (vol $4,586.01)\n- Spread -3.5: 86.0% (vol $371,776)\n- Spread: 76ers (-2.5): 83.9% (vol $458,752)\n- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: 78.5% (vol $4.98M)\n- O/U 234.5: 71.0% (vol $14,181)\n- O/U 233.5: 70.0% (vol $31,627)\n- O/U 235.5: 66.5% (vol $102,215)\n- Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5: 63.5% (vol $174,797)\n- Team to Score First: 50.5% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- Only the final score decides, including any overtime periods, so margin-based contracts depend on the exact result.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed, so timing can delay resolution.\n- A cancellation with no make-up game resolves 50-50, which pins the outcome to a neutral price.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does 78.5% mean on the moneyline?**\nIt is the market-implied probability that the Cavaliers win, based on current trading. It reflects how traders are pricing the outcome, not a forecast or advice.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market stays open until the game has been completed, according to the resolution text. Resolution then follows the final score, including any overtime periods.\n\n**How does the Spread -17.5 market differ from the moneyline?**\nIt is tied to the margin of victory rather than only the winner. Its implied probability rose 47.3 percentage points over the last five half-day points, to 99.8%.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Cavaliers vs. 76ers on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-phi-2026-10-22"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}