{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Nets vs. Celtics — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "The Nets moneyline sits at 68.5%. Spread markets show stronger conviction on a larger margin, while the Overtime and Odd/Even markets sit at 50.0%. 12 markets, $5.04M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-bkn-bos-2026-10-27.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-28",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-28T00:37:01.991Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$5.04M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$5.04M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -13.5 96.7%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-27"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Nets vs. Celtics",
    "slug": "nba-bkn-bos-2026-10-27",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-28T00:37:01.991Z",
    "volume_usd": 5043868.400038,
    "volume_24h_usd": 5040347.999023,
    "end_date": "2026-10-27T23:30:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.033
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.967
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 20.009566
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -11.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.051
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.949
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1.021428
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.105
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.895
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 36.458325
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.15
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.85
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 7.311666000000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.18
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.82
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 50189.552193999996
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.195
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.805
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 496.75805099999997
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.265
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.735
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 929.34584
      },
      {
        "question": "Nets vs. Celtics",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.315
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.685
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1701891.572778
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 222.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.635
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.365
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 595833.5741160001
      },
      {
        "question": "Team to Score First",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Nets",
            "prob": 0.425
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Celtics",
            "prob": 0.575
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 55.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Odd/Even Score",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Odd",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Even",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Overtime?",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-27",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-27",
        "v": 0.9755
      },
      {
        "t": "10-28",
        "v": 0.936
      },
      {
        "t": "10-28",
        "v": 0.967
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The main market resolves to Nets if the Nets win and to Celtics if the Celtics win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. The game is scheduled for October 27 at 7:30PM ET. If it is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The event includes 12 active markets, covering spreads, a total, first-to-score and overtime questions."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how that moved",
        "body": "The Nets side is priced at 68.5%, with the Celtics outcome carrying the remainder of the two-way question. The Spread -13.5 market has moved from a low of 50.5% to 96.7% over the last four half-day points, a change of +46.2 percentage points, with a high of 97.5%. That move suggests traders have concentrated on a large winning margin rather than simply the outright winner. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Spread prices range widely, from 96.7% for Spread -13.5 down to 73.5% for Spread -1.5, with Spread -11.5 at 94.9%, Spread -7.5 at 89.5% and Spread -14.5 at 82.0%. The O/U 222.5 market sits at 63.5%, and Team to Score First at 57.5%. Odd/Even Score and Overtime? both sit at 50.0%, showing no clear lean in those questions."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final score including any overtime periods determines whether the Nets or Celtics market resolves.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.",
      "A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Does the market resolve if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "No. The resolution text says the market remains open until the game has been completed, so the outcome is decided only after play finishes."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is canceled?",
        "a": "If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 according to the resolution text."
      },
      {
        "q": "Do overtime periods count toward the result?",
        "a": "Yes. The result is determined based on the final score including any overtime periods, so extra time can affect which side resolves."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "NBA",
      "Games",
      "Basketball"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "The Nets moneyline sits at 68.5%. Spread markets show stronger conviction on a larger margin, while the Overtime and Odd/Even markets sit at 50.0%.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe main market resolves to Nets if the Nets win and to Celtics if the Celtics win, based on the final score including any overtime periods. The game is scheduled for October 27 at 7:30PM ET. If it is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. The event includes 12 active markets, covering spreads, a total, first-to-score and overtime questions.\n\n## How traders price it now and how that moved\n\nThe Nets side is priced at 68.5%, with the Celtics outcome carrying the remainder of the two-way question. The Spread -13.5 market has moved from a low of 50.5% to 96.7% over the last four half-day points, a change of +46.2 percentage points, with a high of 97.5%. That move suggests traders have concentrated on a large winning margin rather than simply the outright winner. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nSpread prices range widely, from 96.7% for Spread -13.5 down to 73.5% for Spread -1.5, with Spread -11.5 at 94.9%, Spread -7.5 at 89.5% and Spread -14.5 at 82.0%. The O/U 222.5 market sits at 63.5%, and Team to Score First at 57.5%. Odd/Even Score and Overtime? both sit at 50.0%, showing no clear lean in those questions.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -13.5: 96.7% (vol $20.01)\n- Spread -11.5: 94.9% (vol $1.02)\n- Spread -7.5: 89.5% (vol $36.46)\n- Spread -5.5: 85.0% (vol $7.31)\n- Spread -14.5: 82.0% (vol $50,190)\n- Spread -3.5: 80.5% (vol $496.76)\n- Spread -1.5: 73.5% (vol $929.35)\n- Nets vs. Celtics: 68.5% (vol $1.70M)\n- O/U 222.5: 63.5% (vol $595,834)\n- Team to Score First: 57.5% (vol $55.99)\n- Odd/Even Score: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- Overtime?: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final score including any overtime periods determines whether the Nets or Celtics market resolves.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until the game has been completed.\n- A game canceled entirely with no make-up game resolves the market 50-50.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Does the market resolve if the game is postponed?**\nNo. The resolution text says the market remains open until the game has been completed, so the outcome is decided only after play finishes.\n\n**What happens if the game is canceled?**\nIf the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 according to the resolution text.\n\n**Do overtime periods count toward the result?**\nYes. The result is determined based on the final score including any overtime periods, so extra time can affect which side resolves.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Nets vs. Celtics on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-bkn-bos-2026-10-27"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}