{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Traders price the Guardians vs. Rays matchup at 53.5% Yes, with spreads and innings totals spread across 12 active markets. The Spread -2.5 line has risen 6.0 percentage points over three half-day points. 12 markets, $560,401 volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-13.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-14",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T00:37:01.849Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$560,401"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$559,797"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -2.5 78.5%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-21"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
    "slug": "mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-13",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-14T00:37:01.849Z",
    "volume_usd": 560401.1657110002,
    "volume_24h_usd": 559796.8237760001,
    "end_date": "2026-10-21T00:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.215
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.785
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1831.923077
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.325
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.675
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 23969.699973000003
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.335
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.665
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 157789.08380000002
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.625
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.375
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.575
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.425
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 491.575689
      },
      {
        "question": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.465
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.535
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 301354.77740200015
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.525
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.475
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.49
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.51
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.51
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.49
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 11.235954
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 49.98702600000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Extra Innings",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 13.340654
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.735
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.745
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.795
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The market asks who wins the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET. A Yes outcome tracks the named team winning. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50. Official final statistics are the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting as backup if final stats are not published within 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The game-winner line is at 53.5%, the headline matchup price in this event. Spread -2.5 sits at 78.5% and Spread -1.5 at 67.5%, while the O/U 6.5 total is at 66.5%. Spread -2.5 started the last three half-day points at 73.5%, is now at 79.5%, with a high of 79.5% and low of 73.5%, a change of +6.0 percentage points. Total volume is $560,401, with $559,797 traded in the last 24 hours."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Prices range from 50.0% to 78.5% across the twelve active markets. Several first-5-innings lines cluster between 50.0% and 62.5%, and both first-5-innings spread markets sit at 50.0%. Extra Innings is also at 50.0%. The highest-priced line is Spread -2.5 at 78.5%, so the market leans most strongly on that handicap, while many other prices sit near even."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "A win by the named team decides the outcome, so margins and innings totals do not affect resolution.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, so the timing of the result can delay settlement.",
      "A full cancellation with no make-up game, or a tie, resolves 50-50, which pulls prices toward the midpoint."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market remains open until the game has been completed, so resolution waits for the result rather than closing early."
      },
      {
        "q": "How is a tie or cancellation handled?",
        "a": "If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50."
      },
      {
        "q": "What source settles the result?",
        "a": "Official final statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers are the primary source. If they are not published within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "Games",
      "MLB",
      "baseball",
      "MLB Playoffs"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Traders price the Guardians vs. Rays matchup at 53.5% Yes, with spreads and innings totals spread across 12 active markets. The Spread -2.5 line has risen 6.0 percentage points over three half-day points.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe market asks who wins the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 13 at 8:00PM ET. A Yes outcome tracks the named team winning. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50. Official final statistics are the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting as backup if final stats are not published within 24 hours.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe game-winner line is at 53.5%, the headline matchup price in this event. Spread -2.5 sits at 78.5% and Spread -1.5 at 67.5%, while the O/U 6.5 total is at 66.5%. Spread -2.5 started the last three half-day points at 73.5%, is now at 79.5%, with a high of 79.5% and low of 73.5%, a change of +6.0 percentage points. Total volume is $560,401, with $559,797 traded in the last 24 hours.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nPrices range from 50.0% to 78.5% across the twelve active markets. Several first-5-innings lines cluster between 50.0% and 62.5%, and both first-5-innings spread markets sit at 50.0%. Extra Innings is also at 50.0%. The highest-priced line is Spread -2.5 at 78.5%, so the market leans most strongly on that handicap, while many other prices sit near even.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -2.5: 78.5% (vol $1,831.92)\n- Spread -1.5: 67.5% (vol $23,970)\n- O/U 6.5: 66.5% (vol $157,789)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5: 62.5% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5: 57.5% (vol $491.58)\n- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 53.5% (vol $301,355)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5: 52.5% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5: 51.0% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5: 51.0% (vol $11.24)\n- 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5: 50.0% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5: 50.0% (vol $49.99)\n- Extra Innings: 50.0% (vol $13.34)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- A win by the named team decides the outcome, so margins and innings totals do not affect resolution.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, so the timing of the result can delay settlement.\n- A full cancellation with no make-up game, or a tie, resolves 50-50, which pulls prices toward the midpoint.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market remains open until the game has been completed, so resolution waits for the result rather than closing early.\n\n**How is a tie or cancellation handled?**\nIf the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.\n\n**What source settles the result?**\nOfficial final statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers are the primary source. If they are not published within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}