{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays\": 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Over 82%. 12 markets, $880,762.79 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-12.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-13",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-13T00:37:01.650Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$880,762.79"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$878,020.2"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Over 82%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-20"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
    "slug": "mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-12",
    "volume_usd": 880762.7895129997,
    "volume_24h_usd": 878020.204561,
    "end_date": "2026-10-20T00:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.815
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.185
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.795
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.205
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 531739.3641939997
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.685
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.315
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 25.79
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.645
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.355
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 140593.1695
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.615
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.385
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.615
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.385
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 11.1
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.565
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.435
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.54
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.46
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 13.590358
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.525
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.475
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 179505.77296699997
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Cleveland Guardians",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Tampa Bay Rays",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 5
      },
      {
        "question": "Extra Innings",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 105.2967
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "Games",
      "MLB",
      "baseball",
      "MLB Playoffs"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are pricing it\n\nThe event asks who will win the Cleveland Guardians–Tampa Bay Rays game scheduled for October 12 at 8:00 PM ET; if postponed, it remains open until completion. Across 12 active markets, traders currently price Tampa Bay at **80%** to win and **65%** to win by more than 1.5 runs. Run production is also priced aggressively: the first-five-innings Over is **82% at 2.5 runs**, **69% at 3.5**, **62% at 4.5**, **56% at 5.5**, and **54% at 6.5**. Cleveland is priced above **0.5 runs at 62%**.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nThe **$880,762.79 volume** indicates substantial trading activity, but it does not make these outcomes certain: each percentage is a market-implied probability, not a prediction. The pricing reflects a market favoring Tampa Bay while assigning meaningful probability to an early, relatively high-scoring game. Prices could move with new trading, lineup or starting-pitcher information, game-time conditions, or in-game developments. The supplied event facts differ from publicly displayed odds elsewhere, so these figures should be treated specifically as the stated live snapshot.\n\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5: Over 82% (vol $0)\n- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays 80% (vol $531,739.36)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5: Over 69% (vol $25.79)\n- Spread -1.5: Tampa Bay Rays 65% (vol $140,593.17)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5: Over 62% (vol $0)\n- Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5: Over 62% (vol $11.1)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5: Over 56% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5: Over 54% (vol $13.59)\n- O/U 6.5: Over 53% (vol $179,505.77)\n- 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5: Tampa Bay Rays 50% (vol $0)\n- 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5: Cleveland Guardians 50% (vol $5)\n- Extra Innings: Yes 50% (vol $105.3)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/event/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-12"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/sports/mlb/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/event/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.cleveland.com/betting/2026/10/polymarket-referral-code-cleve-enhances-25-bonus-in-oh-for-guardians-vs-rays-for-alcs-game-1.html"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}