{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets\": Real Madrid CF (-1.5) Villarreal CF 100%. 12 markets, $1.24M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lal-rea-vil-2026-10-10-more-markets.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-10",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-10T21:47:01.847Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.24M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.20M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Villarreal CF 100%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-10"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets",
    "slug": "lal-rea-vil-2026-10-10-more-markets",
    "volume_usd": 1235905.6823750003,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1201254.0047699998,
    "end_date": "2026-10-10T19:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Real Madrid CF (-1.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 187653.1739429999
      },
      {
        "question": "Villarreal CF (-1.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 80119.540826
      },
      {
        "question": "Real Madrid CF (-2.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 14532.136222000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Villarreal CF (-2.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 11618.258101
      },
      {
        "question": "Real Madrid CF (-3.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3296.209983
      },
      {
        "question": "Villarreal CF (-3.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 560
      },
      {
        "question": "Real Madrid CF (-4.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1935.4465639999999
      },
      {
        "question": "Villarreal CF (-4.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Real Madrid CF (-5.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Villarreal CF (-5.5)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Real Madrid CF",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Villarreal CF",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 19.989
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 0.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 154055.57138500008
      },
      {
        "question": "O/U 1.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Under",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Over",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 366715.452881
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "Games",
      "Soccer",
      "La Liga"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and current pricing\n\nThe Polymarket event covers additional outcome markets for the Real Madrid–Villarreal La Liga match, scheduled for October 10 at 3:00 PM ET.[1][3] The listed questions concern handicap outcomes: whether Real Madrid or Villarreal wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals. Each displayed market currently assigns **100% market-implied probability** to the opposing team named after the arrow—for example, “Real Madrid CF (-1.5) → Villarreal CF” is shown at 100%.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply\n\nThe $1.24 million total volume across 12 active markets indicates substantial trading activity, but volume alone does not establish the accuracy or direction of the displayed prices. The repeated 100% quotes imply either highly resolved/settled contract states, a display convention, or markets with no meaningful remaining uncertainty; they should not be treated as literal forecasts of every handicap result. Prices could move if the platform updates settlement status, corrects market presentation, or if traders enter meaningful liquidity before resolution. The event is scheduled to end October 10, 2026.[1]\n\n- Real Madrid CF (-1.5): Villarreal CF 100% (vol $187,653.17)\n- Villarreal CF (-1.5): Real Madrid CF 100% (vol $80,119.54)\n- Real Madrid CF (-2.5): Villarreal CF 100% (vol $14,532.14)\n- Villarreal CF (-2.5): Real Madrid CF 100% (vol $11,618.26)\n- Real Madrid CF (-3.5): Villarreal CF 100% (vol $3,296.21)\n- Villarreal CF (-3.5): Real Madrid CF 100% (vol $560)\n- Real Madrid CF (-4.5): Villarreal CF 100% (vol $1,935.45)\n- Villarreal CF (-4.5): Real Madrid CF 100% (vol $0)\n- Real Madrid CF (-5.5): Villarreal CF 100% (vol $0)\n- Villarreal CF (-5.5): Real Madrid CF 100% (vol $19.99)\n- O/U 0.5: Over 100% (vol $154,055.57)\n- O/U 1.5: Under 100% (vol $366,715.45)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lal-rea-vil-2026-10-10"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7677260/2026/10/10/villarreal-vs-real-madrid-stream-how-to-watch-la-liga-oct-10/?eafs_enabled=false"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.espn.com/soccer/team/fixtures/_/id/102/esp.1"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/laliga/games"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}