{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club\": Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) No 70%. 3 markets, $949,133.37 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-11",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-11T09:08:33.065Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$949,133.37"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$936,832.73"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "3"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "No 70%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-10"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club",
    "slug": "lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10",
    "volume_usd": 949133.3745179997,
    "volume_24h_usd": 936832.7347650006,
    "end_date": "2026-10-10T12:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.695
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.305
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 25015.79960200001
      },
      {
        "question": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.68
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.32
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 199537.664628
      },
      {
        "question": "Athletic Club",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.615
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.385
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 724579.9102879997
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "Games",
      "Soccer",
      "La Liga"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are currently pricing it\n\nThe event covers three outcome markets for the upcoming La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Athletic Club, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026. The displayed prices are for the **“No”** side: 70% for the match not ending in a draw, 68% for Rayo Vallecano not winning, and 62% for Athletic Club not winning. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.[1]\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nThe pricing indicates that traders currently assign the highest implied likelihood to **no draw**, followed by no Rayo win and no Athletic win. Taken together, the figures suggest the market is not expressing a strong expectation that either listed team outcome occurs, though these separate markets should not be treated as directly additive or as a complete probability distribution. Total event volume of **$949,133.37** indicates substantial trading activity across three active markets, but volume alone does not establish accuracy or consensus. Prices could move with new trading, lineup or player-availability news, schedule developments, and other match information.\n\n- Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club): No 70% (vol $25,015.8)\n- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: No 68% (vol $199,537.66)\n- Athletic Club: No 62% (vol $724,579.91)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/laliga/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10?marketSlug=lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10-bil"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/sports/lal"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lal-ray-bil-2026-10-10"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/profile/0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  ],
  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}