{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Portugal vs. Uzbekistan — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Portugal vs. Uzbekistan\": Uzbekistan No 96%. 3 markets, $6.04M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-06-23",
  "generated_at": "2026-06-23T15:42:04.744Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$6.04M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$5.63M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "3"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "No 96%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-06-23"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Portugal vs. Uzbekistan",
    "slug": "fifwc-prt-uzb-2026-06-23",
    "volume_usd": 6036293.025574067,
    "volume_24h_usd": 5629289.753136036,
    "end_date": "2026-06-23T17:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Uzbekistan",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.955
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.045
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1413109.5549149974
      },
      {
        "question": "Draw (Portugal vs. Uzbekistan)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.895
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.105
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 772476.9495030098
      },
      {
        "question": "Portugal",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.855
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.145
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3855565.1371690608
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Games",
      "Soccer",
      "Sports",
      "FIFA World Cup"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how it is priced\n\nThe Polymarket event “Portugal vs. Uzbekistan” resolves on June 23, 2026 and currently has $6.04 million in total volume across three active markets. The contracts ask traders to bet on which outcome will occur in the FIFA World Cup match: a Portugal win (Yes), a draw (No), or an Uzbekistan win (No). At present, the market prices Portugal to win at about 86%, a draw at 10% (implied from the 90% “No” on Draw), and Uzbekistan to win at 4% (implied from the 96% “No” on Uzbekistan). These figures represent market‑implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what could move them\n\nThe high volume and tight pricing indicate strong consensus that Portugal is the overwhelming favorite, with very low market‑implied chances for either a draw or an Uzbekistan victory. The size of the pool suggests active participation and relatively efficient pricing, though it remains sensitive to new information. Odds would likely shift if there were material team‑news updates (injuries, lineup changes, tactical leaks), in‑game events during the match, or large directional trades that move the order book. Any deviation from the current consensus—such as unexpected early goals or red cards—could rapidly alter the implied probabilities.\n\n- Uzbekistan: No 96% (vol $1.41M)\n- Draw (Portugal vs. Uzbekistan): No 90% (vol $772,476.95)\n- Portugal: Yes 86% (vol $3.86M)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://defirate.com/news/portugal-uzbekistan-world-cup-odds-predictions-picks/"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.sportsgambler.com/betting-tips/football/portugal-vs-uzbekistan-prediction-lineups-odds-2026-06-23/"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.actionnetwork.com/legal-online-sports-betting/polymarket-world-cup-promo-code-action-get-50-for-ronaldo-portugal-vs-uzbekistan-today"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/portugal-vs-uzbekistan-odds-predictions-2026-world-cup-picks-from-proven-soccer-expert/"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/cdn/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}