{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Singapore Grand Prix: Driver Winner — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Singapore Grand Prix: Driver Winner\": Fernando Alonso No 100%. 12 markets, $1.12M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-11.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-11",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-11T15:45:58.830Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.12M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$890,948.47"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "No 100%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-18"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Singapore Grand Prix: Driver Winner",
    "slug": "f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-11",
    "volume_usd": 1124598.008561,
    "volume_24h_usd": 890948.4696140001,
    "end_date": "2026-10-18T12:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Fernando Alonso",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 954.092223
      },
      {
        "question": "Alexander Albon",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 170.81
      },
      {
        "question": "Gabriel Bortoleto",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 170.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Sergio Perez",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 175.998
      },
      {
        "question": "Charles Leclerc",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 67846.43877000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Esteban Ocon",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 170.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Lando Norris",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 75160.74198899999
      },
      {
        "question": "Kimi Antonelli",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 112990.33122200002
      },
      {
        "question": "Franco Colapinto",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 160.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Max Verstappen",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.999
          },
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.001
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 187642.97104299997
      },
      {
        "question": "Pierre Gasly",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9955
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0045
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 160.99
      },
      {
        "question": "Carlos Sainz Jr.",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.9925
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.0075
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 959.092223
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Formula 1",
      "f1",
      "Sports",
      "Grand Prix",
      "Hide From New"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are currently pricing it\n\nThe market asks which driver will be officially listed first in the FIA Final Classification for the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for October 11, 2026. It resolves by October 18; if the race is canceled or moved beyond that date, the outcome is “Other.”[1] Of the listed contracts provided, **No** is currently priced at 100% for Alonso, Albon, Bortoleto, Pérez, Leclerc, Ocon, Norris, and Antonelli. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nThe quoted prices imply that none of those eight drivers is currently considered the winner under the listed contracts; they do not establish who is favored among other outcomes. Total volume of **$1.12 million** across **12 active markets** indicates substantial trading activity, while the eight 100% No prices show no currently priced probability for those specific Yes outcomes. Prices could change with qualifying and race results, driver participation or incidents, official FIA classification developments, or a cancellation or rescheduling beyond October 18, which would make “Other” resolve.\n\n- Fernando Alonso: No 100% (vol $954.09)\n- Alexander Albon: No 100% (vol $170.81)\n- Gabriel Bortoleto: No 100% (vol $170.99)\n- Sergio Perez: No 100% (vol $176)\n- Charles Leclerc: No 100% (vol $67,846.44)\n- Esteban Ocon: No 100% (vol $170.99)\n- Lando Norris: No 100% (vol $75,160.74)\n- Kimi Antonelli: No 100% (vol $112,990.33)\n- Franco Colapinto: No 100% (vol $160.99)\n- Max Verstappen: Yes 100% (vol $187,642.97)\n- Pierre Gasly: No 100% (vol $160.99)\n- Carlos Sainz Jr.: No 99% (vol $959.09)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-11/f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-leclerc-2026-10-11"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/formula1"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/sports/f1/f1-sasgp-2026-10-11-w"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-11?marketSlug=f1-singapore-grand-prix-winner-gasly-2026-10-11&outcomeIndex=0"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}