{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC\": Liverpool FC No 74%. 3 markets, $2.56M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/epl-liv-mac-2026-10-11.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-11",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-11T15:45:58.830Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$2.56M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$2.46M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "3"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "No 74%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-11"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC",
    "slug": "epl-liv-mac-2026-10-11",
    "volume_usd": 2557453.081197999,
    "volume_24h_usd": 2462541.1883969987,
    "end_date": "2026-10-11T15:30:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Liverpool FC",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.735
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.265
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 474377.1084479997
      },
      {
        "question": "Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC)",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.705
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.295
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 141102.03697499994
      },
      {
        "question": "Manchester City FC",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "No",
            "prob": 0.565
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Yes",
            "prob": 0.435
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1941973.9357749994
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "Games",
      "Soccer",
      "Premier League",
      "EPL"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are currently pricing it\n\nThe Polymarket event concerns the upcoming Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026. Its three active markets appear to ask whether Liverpool wins, whether the match is a draw, and whether Manchester City wins. Current market-implied probabilities for **No** are 74%, 71%, and 56%, respectively—not forecasts or guaranteed outcomes.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nThe pricing implies traders currently assign higher probabilities to Liverpool not winning than winning, to the match not ending in a draw than ending level, and to Manchester City not winning than winning. Because these are complementary outcome markets rather than one displayed three-way probability set, the figures should not be added or treated as a single distribution. The event’s $2.56 million total volume across three markets indicates substantial trading activity, while the October 11, 2026 end date leaves time for repricing. Odds could move with lineup announcements, injuries, suspensions, form or other match-related information, and changes in trader positioning or liquidity.\n\n- Liverpool FC: No 74% (vol $474,377.11)\n- Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC): No 71% (vol $141,102.04)\n- Manchester City FC: No 56% (vol $1.94M)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/epl-liv-mac-2026-10-11"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/event/epl-liv-mnc-2026-10-11?r=PRED&marketSlug=atc-epl-liv-mnc-2026-10-11-draw&outcomeId=2370958"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.us/"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/epl-liv-mac-2026-10-11-exact-score"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}