{ "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema", "type": "Event", "tier": "L2-full", "title": "UCLA vs. Oregon — Live Odds & Analysis", "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"UCLA vs. Oregon\": Spread -7.5 UCLA 85%. 12 markets, $912,568.54 volume. Real-money prediction-market data.", "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10.html", "category": "predictions", "updated": "2026-10-10", "generated_at": "2026-10-10T21:47:01.847Z", "facts": [ { "label": "Total volume", "value": "$912,568.54" }, { "label": "24h volume", "value": "$840,274.3" }, { "label": "Markets", "value": "12" }, { "label": "Leading", "value": "UCLA 85%" }, { "label": "Ends", "value": "2026-10-10" } ], "data": { "event": "UCLA vs. Oregon", "slug": "cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10", "volume_usd": 912568.5354029997, "volume_24h_usd": 840274.2992199999, "end_date": "2026-10-10T19:30:00Z", "markets": [ { "question": "Spread -7.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.85 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.15 } ], "volume_usd": 3617.3650829999992 }, { "question": "Spread -6.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.77 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.23 } ], "volume_usd": 9776.232118 }, { "question": "Spread -5.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.745 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.255 } ], "volume_usd": 7630.7641029999995 }, { "question": "Spread -4.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.735 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.265 } ], "volume_usd": 981.351352 }, { "question": "Spread -5.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.725 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.275 } ], "volume_usd": 91.24137999999999 }, { "question": "Spread -8.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.715 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.285 } ], "volume_usd": 0 }, { "question": "Spread -3.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.7 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.3 } ], "volume_usd": 473.625 }, { "question": "Spread -4.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.69 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.31 } ], "volume_usd": 458.915687 }, { "question": "Spread -2.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.555 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.445 } ], "volume_usd": 656.580979 }, { "question": "Spread -1.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.535 }, { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.465 } ], "volume_usd": 11589.892246000001 }, { "question": "Spread -1.5", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.525 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.475 } ], "volume_usd": 19883.181462 }, { "question": "UCLA vs. Oregon", "odds": [ { "outcome": "Oregon", "prob": 0.505 }, { "outcome": "UCLA", "prob": 0.495 } ], "volume_usd": 674571.541376 } ], "tags": [ "Sports", "CFB (All)", "Games" ] }, "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and how traders are pricing it\n\nThe event asks which team will win UCLA–Oregon on October 10 at 3:30 PM ET. Overtime counts; a tie resolves 50–50, while a postponement keeps the market open until completion. Across 12 active markets, the listed spread prices imply a generally strong UCLA position at several numbers: UCLA is priced at 85% at -7.5, 77% at -6.5, 75% at -5.5, 74% at -4.5, and 70% at -3.5. Oregon is priced at 73% at -5.5, 72% at -8.5, and 69% at -4.5. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply, and what would move them\n\nThe $912,568.54 total volume indicates substantial trading activity, but volume alone does not establish which side is correct or guarantee efficient pricing. The spread prices suggest that traders’ assessments vary materially by line and contract wording, with no single probability representing the entire event. Prices could move as trading updates, liquidity changes, or new information affects expectations about the matchup. Resolution will ultimately depend on the game’s official result under the stated rules.\n\n- Spread -7.5: UCLA 85% (vol $3,617.37)\n- Spread -6.5: UCLA 77% (vol $9,776.23)\n- Spread -5.5: UCLA 75% (vol $7,630.76)\n- Spread -4.5: UCLA 74% (vol $981.35)\n- Spread -5.5: Oregon 73% (vol $91.24)\n- Spread -8.5: Oregon 72% (vol $0)\n- Spread -3.5: UCLA 70% (vol $473.63)\n- Spread -4.5: Oregon 69% (vol $458.92)\n- Spread -2.5: Oregon 56% (vol $656.58)\n- Spread -1.5: UCLA 54% (vol $11,589.89)\n- Spread -1.5: Oregon 53% (vol $19,883.18)\n- UCLA vs. Oregon: Oregon 51% (vol $674,571.54)", "sources": [ { "url": "https://polymarket.us/sports/cfb/cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10" }, { "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/cfb/cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10" }, { "url": "https://www.amny.com/sports/polymarket-promo-code-amny-get-25-bonus-for-college-football-oct-10/" }, { "url": "https://polymarket.com/ru/sports/cfb/cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10?marketSlug=cfb-ucla-ore-2026-10-10-team-40-plus-fgs-ucla-0pt5" }, { "title": "Polymarket via AISA API", "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events" } ], "related": [ { "name": "US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt.html" }, { "name": "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lal-rea-vil-2026-10-10.html" }, { "name": "LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lol-los-fur-2026-10-10.html" }, { "name": "Texas vs. Oklahoma", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-tx-okl-2026-10-10.html" }, { "name": "Texas A&M vs. Missouri", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-txam-missr-2026-10-10.html" }, { "name": "Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF - More Markets", "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lal-rea-vil-2026-10-10-more-markets.html" } ], "pricing": { "price_usd": 0.01, "method": "402", "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify", "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token", "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html" }, "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)" }