{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Ole Miss vs. Texas — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Polymarket prices Ole Miss as the likely winner of the October 24 game against Texas. Spread contracts and the head-to-head market show how confident traders are in that outcome. 12 markets, $1.46M volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-miss-tx-2026-10-24.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-25",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.46M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.38M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -17.5 98.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-24"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Ole Miss vs. Texas",
    "slug": "cfb-miss-tx-2026-10-24",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-25T00:37:01.560Z",
    "volume_usd": 1462323.604948,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1380035.571114,
    "end_date": "2026-10-24T23:30:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -17.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.02
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.98
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.0205
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.9795
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.0255
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.9745
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 15.509628
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.0315
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.9685
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.0375
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.9625
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 21
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.045
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.955
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 76.63
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.07
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.93
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3.703704
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.08
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.92
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.085
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.915
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Ole Miss vs. Texas",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.165
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.835
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 1185399.398538
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -8.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.21
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.79
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -20.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Ole Miss",
            "prob": 0.5
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Texas",
            "prob": 0.5
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-15",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-16",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-17",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-18",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.905
      },
      {
        "t": "10-19",
        "v": 0.915
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.92
      },
      {
        "t": "10-20",
        "v": 0.92
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.93
      },
      {
        "t": "10-21",
        "v": 0.935
      },
      {
        "t": "10-22",
        "v": 0.925
      },
      {
        "t": "10-23",
        "v": 0.93
      },
      {
        "t": "10-24",
        "v": 0.92
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The event covers one college football game, Ole Miss versus Texas, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET. The market resolves to Ole Miss if Ole Miss win and to Texas if Texas win, with overtime included if played. A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game stays open until completed. A game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50. The twelve active markets include point-spread contracts from Spread -4.5 to Spread -20.5 and a head-to-head Ole Miss vs. Texas contract."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The head-to-head Ole Miss vs. Texas market is priced at 83.5%. Spread contracts show a steep gradient: Spread -17.5 is at 98.0%, Spread -14.5 at 98.0%, and Spread -8.5 at 79.0%. Spread -20.5 sits at 50.0%. Over the last 20 half-day points, Spread -17.5 started at 50.0%, reached a high of 93.5%, and ended the window at 92.0%, up 42.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "Most spread contracts cluster in a narrow high band. Spread -4.5 is at 91.5%, Spread -5.5 at 92.0%, Spread -6.5 at 93.0%, and Spread -7.5 at 95.5%, with the deeper lines from Spread -10.5 to Spread -17.5 between 96.3% and 98.0%. The market has recorded $1.46M in total volume, with $1.38M traded in the last 24 hours, indicating heavy recent activity around the game."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final score decides it: a win by Ole Miss resolves Yes, and a win by Texas resolves the opposite side.",
      "Overtime counts toward the result, so extra periods can settle the market rather than a regulation finish.",
      "A tie or a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50, while a postponement keeps the market open until play is completed."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "What does a price of 83.5% mean?",
        "a": "It is the market-implied probability that the Ole Miss vs. Texas contract resolves Yes, based on current trading. It reflects where traders are willing to buy and sell, not a forecast or advice."
      },
      {
        "q": "How do the spread contracts differ from the head-to-head market?",
        "a": "Spread contracts are priced on a margin, such as Spread -17.5, while the head-to-head market only asks who wins. The higher spread prices, like 98.0%, reflect traders' expectations of a wide margin."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed or canceled?",
        "a": "If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated resolution text."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "CFB (All)",
      "Games",
      "CFB"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Polymarket prices Ole Miss as the likely winner of the October 24 game against Texas. Spread contracts and the head-to-head market show how confident traders are in that outcome.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe event covers one college football game, Ole Miss versus Texas, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET. The market resolves to Ole Miss if Ole Miss win and to Texas if Texas win, with overtime included if played. A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game stays open until completed. A game canceled with no make-up resolves 50-50. The twelve active markets include point-spread contracts from Spread -4.5 to Spread -20.5 and a head-to-head Ole Miss vs. Texas contract.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe head-to-head Ole Miss vs. Texas market is priced at 83.5%. Spread contracts show a steep gradient: Spread -17.5 is at 98.0%, Spread -14.5 at 98.0%, and Spread -8.5 at 79.0%. Spread -20.5 sits at 50.0%. Over the last 20 half-day points, Spread -17.5 started at 50.0%, reached a high of 93.5%, and ended the window at 92.0%, up 42.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nMost spread contracts cluster in a narrow high band. Spread -4.5 is at 91.5%, Spread -5.5 at 92.0%, Spread -6.5 at 93.0%, and Spread -7.5 at 95.5%, with the deeper lines from Spread -10.5 to Spread -17.5 between 96.3% and 98.0%. The market has recorded $1.46M in total volume, with $1.38M traded in the last 24 hours, indicating heavy recent activity around the game.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -17.5: 98.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -14.5: 98.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -16.5: 97.5% (vol $15.51)\n- Spread -13.5: 96.9% (vol $0)\n- Spread -10.5: 96.3% (vol $21.00)\n- Spread -7.5: 95.5% (vol $76.63)\n- Spread -6.5: 93.0% (vol $3.70)\n- Spread -5.5: 92.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -4.5: 91.5% (vol $0)\n- Ole Miss vs. Texas: 83.5% (vol $1.19M)\n- Spread -8.5: 79.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -20.5: 50.0% (vol $0)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final score decides it: a win by Ole Miss resolves Yes, and a win by Texas resolves the opposite side.\n- Overtime counts toward the result, so extra periods can settle the market rather than a regulation finish.\n- A tie or a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50, while a postponement keeps the market open until play is completed.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**What does a price of 83.5% mean?**\nIt is the market-implied probability that the Ole Miss vs. Texas contract resolves Yes, based on current trading. It reflects where traders are willing to buy and sell, not a forecast or advice.\n\n**How do the spread contracts differ from the head-to-head market?**\nSpread contracts are priced on a margin, such as Spread -17.5, while the head-to-head market only asks who wins. The higher spread prices, like 98.0%, reflect traders' expectations of a wide margin.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed or canceled?**\nIf the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated resolution text.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Ole Miss vs. Texas on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-miss-tx-2026-10-24"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "name": "Brazil Presidential Election",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/brazil-presidential-election.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/ballon-dor-winner-2026.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/balance-of-power-2026-midterms.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/lol-dk-t1-2026-10-24.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Heat vs. Hornets",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-mia-cha-2026-10-24.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Wizards vs. Bulls",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/nba-was-chi-2026-10-24.html"
    }
  ],
  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}