{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Iowa vs. Washington — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Live Polymarket odds for \"Iowa vs. Washington\": Iowa vs. Washington Iowa 100%. 12 markets, $1.07M volume. Real-money prediction-market data.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-iowa-wash-2026-10-09.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-10",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-10T06:16:37.435Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$1.07M"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$1.02M"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Iowa 100%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-10"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Iowa vs. Washington",
    "slug": "cfb-iowa-wash-2026-10-09",
    "volume_usd": 1069239.493057,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1017436.9732749999,
    "end_date": "2026-10-10T01:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Iowa vs. Washington",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 444300.0844810001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.995
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.005
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 655.9968550000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9945
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0055
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 3471.3514440000004
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.994
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.006
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 12004.769009999998
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9935
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0065
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 10338.620416999998
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9935
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0065
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 16451.671962
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9925
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0075
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 802.905955
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.9915
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.0085
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2778.003743
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -17.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.83
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.17
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 8543.620875999999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -20.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.825
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.175
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 774.5771080000001
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.825
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.175
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 18918.465269999997
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -8.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Iowa",
            "prob": 0.55
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Washington",
            "prob": 0.45
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "CFB (All)",
      "Games",
      "CFB"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "## What the market is asking and current pricing\n\nThe event asks which team wins Iowa–Washington, scheduled for October 9 at 9:00 p.m. ET, with overtime included; a tie resolves 50–50, while a postponement keeps the market open until completion. Across 12 active markets, the supplied prices assign Iowa 100% in the game market, 100% at -6.5, and 99% at the listed -4.5, -5.5, -7.5, -10.5, -13.5, and -14.5 spreads. These are market-implied probabilities, not objective forecasts.\n\n## What the odds and volume imply\n\nThe $1.07 million total volume indicates substantial trading activity, while the near-uniform Iowa pricing reflects an extremely one-sided market at the stated snapshot. The spread prices imply traders see Iowa covering even very large listed margins, though the 99–100% clustering provides little differentiation among those thresholds. Prices could move with new trading, lineup or injury information, game-related developments, or changes affecting whether and when the game is completed. Any postponement would keep resolution pending rather than create an immediate outcome.\n\n- Iowa vs. Washington: Iowa 100% (vol $444,300.08)\n- Spread -6.5: Iowa 100% (vol $656)\n- Spread -7.5: Iowa 99% (vol $3,471.35)\n- Spread -13.5: Iowa 99% (vol $12,004.77)\n- Spread -14.5: Iowa 99% (vol $10,338.62)\n- Spread -10.5: Iowa 99% (vol $16,451.67)\n- Spread -5.5: Iowa 99% (vol $802.91)\n- Spread -4.5: Iowa 99% (vol $2,778)\n- Spread -17.5: Iowa 83% (vol $8,543.62)\n- Spread -20.5: Iowa 83% (vol $774.58)\n- Spread -16.5: Iowa 83% (vol $18,918.47)\n- Spread -8.5: Iowa 55% (vol $0)",
  "sources": [
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/predictions/washington"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/cfb/games"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/sports/football/games"
    },
    {
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/combos/sports/cfb"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
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  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with X-AISA-Crawler-Token",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}