{
  "@context": "https://agentflare.org/schema",
  "type": "Event",
  "tier": "L2-full",
  "title": "Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee — Live Odds & Analysis",
  "description": "Traders price Delaware at 62.5% against Middle Tennessee in the October 13 game, with spread contracts ranging from 57.5% to 94.0%. All figures are market-implied probabilities. 12 markets, $638,815 volume on Polymarket.",
  "canonical": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/cfb-del-mtnst-2026-10-13.html",
  "category": "predictions",
  "updated": "2026-10-14",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T00:37:01.849Z",
  "facts": [
    {
      "label": "Total volume",
      "value": "$638,815"
    },
    {
      "label": "24h volume",
      "value": "$627,926"
    },
    {
      "label": "Markets",
      "value": "12"
    },
    {
      "label": "Leading",
      "value": "Spread -20.5 94.0%"
    },
    {
      "label": "Ends",
      "value": "2026-10-13"
    }
  ],
  "data": {
    "event": "Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee",
    "slug": "cfb-del-mtnst-2026-10-13",
    "generated_at": "2026-10-14T00:37:01.849Z",
    "volume_usd": 638814.557402,
    "volume_24h_usd": 627926.0294900001,
    "end_date": "2026-10-13T23:00:00Z",
    "markets": [
      {
        "question": "Spread -20.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.0605
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.9395
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -17.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.0605
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.9395
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -16.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.097
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.903
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 74
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -14.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.124
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.876
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 859.08
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -13.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.1505
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.8495
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 712.635524
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -10.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.23
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.77
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 2147.313877
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -8.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.275
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.725
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 0
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -7.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.3
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.7
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 104.7619
      },
      {
        "question": "Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.625
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.375
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 566505.8430939999
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -6.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.38
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.62
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 226.617648
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -5.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.4
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.6
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 262
      },
      {
        "question": "Spread -4.5",
        "odds": [
          {
            "outcome": "Delaware",
            "prob": 0.425
          },
          {
            "outcome": "Middle Tennessee",
            "prob": 0.575
          }
        ],
        "volume_usd": 445.033897
      }
    ],
    "leading_history": [
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-06",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-07",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-08",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.5
      },
      {
        "t": "10-09",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-10",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-11",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-12",
        "v": 0.505
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.92
      },
      {
        "t": "10-13",
        "v": 0.915
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.6645
      },
      {
        "t": "10-14",
        "v": 0.9395
      }
    ],
    "analysis": [
      {
        "h": "What the market asks and how it resolves",
        "body": "The market asks who wins the college football game between Delaware and Middle Tennessee, scheduled for October 13 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to Delaware if Delaware wins and to Middle Tennessee if Middle Tennessee wins. Overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The event has 12 active markets and total volume of $638,815."
      },
      {
        "h": "How traders price it now and how it moved",
        "body": "The head-to-head Delaware market sits at 62.5%, the market-implied chance Delaware wins. The Spread -20.5 contract trades at 94.0%, the highest price among the spread lines, and the spread contracts run from 94.0% down to 57.5% at Spread -4.5. Over the last 18 half-day points, Spread -20.5 moved from a low of 50.0% to a high of 94.0%, up 44.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts."
      },
      {
        "h": "How concentrated the odds are",
        "body": "The spread prices form a descending ladder: Spread -20.5 at 94.0%, Spread -17.5 at 94.0%, Spread -16.5 at 90.3%, Spread -14.5 at 87.6%, Spread -13.5 at 85.0%, Spread -10.5 at 77.0%, Spread -8.5 at 72.5%, Spread -7.5 at 70.0%, Spread -6.5 at 62.0%, Spread -5.5 at 60.0%, and Spread -4.5 at 57.5%. The two widest lines share the same 94.0% reading at the top of the ladder. The 24h volume is $627,926."
      }
    ],
    "drivers": [
      "The final score decides the result: a Delaware win resolves Yes, and a Middle Tennessee win resolves the other outcome.",
      "Overtime is included if played, so extra periods can determine the resolution.",
      "A postponed game keeps the market open, while a tie or a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50."
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "q": "Does a tie pay out for either side?",
        "a": "No side wins outright on a tie. The resolution text says the market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie."
      },
      {
        "q": "What happens if the game is postponed?",
        "a": "The market stays open until the game has been completed, so resolution waits for the played result rather than closing early."
      },
      {
        "q": "Are these percentages forecasts?",
        "a": "No. Each percentage is a market-implied probability of Yes drawn from trading activity. It is not a prediction or advice."
      }
    ],
    "tags": [
      "Sports",
      "CFB (All)",
      "Games"
    ]
  },
  "analysis_md": "Traders price Delaware at 62.5% against Middle Tennessee in the October 13 game, with spread contracts ranging from 57.5% to 94.0%. All figures are market-implied probabilities.\n\n## What the market asks and how it resolves\n\nThe market asks who wins the college football game between Delaware and Middle Tennessee, scheduled for October 13 at 7:00PM ET. It resolves to Delaware if Delaware wins and to Middle Tennessee if Middle Tennessee wins. Overtime counts if played. A tie resolves 50-50, and a postponed game keeps the market open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The event has 12 active markets and total volume of $638,815.\n\n## How traders price it now and how it moved\n\nThe head-to-head Delaware market sits at 62.5%, the market-implied chance Delaware wins. The Spread -20.5 contract trades at 94.0%, the highest price among the spread lines, and the spread contracts run from 94.0% down to 57.5% at Spread -4.5. Over the last 18 half-day points, Spread -20.5 moved from a low of 50.0% to a high of 94.0%, up 44.0 percentage points. These are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts.\n\n## How concentrated the odds are\n\nThe spread prices form a descending ladder: Spread -20.5 at 94.0%, Spread -17.5 at 94.0%, Spread -16.5 at 90.3%, Spread -14.5 at 87.6%, Spread -13.5 at 85.0%, Spread -10.5 at 77.0%, Spread -8.5 at 72.5%, Spread -7.5 at 70.0%, Spread -6.5 at 62.0%, Spread -5.5 at 60.0%, and Spread -4.5 at 57.5%. The two widest lines share the same 94.0% reading at the top of the ladder. The 24h volume is $627,926.\n\n## Current odds\n\n- Spread -20.5: 94.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -17.5: 94.0% (vol $0)\n- Spread -16.5: 90.3% (vol $74.00)\n- Spread -14.5: 87.6% (vol $859.08)\n- Spread -13.5: 85.0% (vol $712.64)\n- Spread -10.5: 77.0% (vol $2,147.31)\n- Spread -8.5: 72.5% (vol $0)\n- Spread -7.5: 70.0% (vol $104.76)\n- Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee: 62.5% (vol $566,506)\n- Spread -6.5: 62.0% (vol $226.62)\n- Spread -5.5: 60.0% (vol $262.00)\n- Spread -4.5: 57.5% (vol $445.03)\n\n## What decides this market\n\n- The final score decides the result: a Delaware win resolves Yes, and a Middle Tennessee win resolves the other outcome.\n- Overtime is included if played, so extra periods can determine the resolution.\n- A postponed game keeps the market open, while a tie or a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50.\n\n## FAQ\n\n**Does a tie pay out for either side?**\nNo side wins outright on a tie. The resolution text says the market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie.\n\n**What happens if the game is postponed?**\nThe market stays open until the game has been completed, so resolution waits for the played result rather than closing early.\n\n**Are these percentages forecasts?**\nNo. Each percentage is a market-implied probability of Yes drawn from trading activity. It is not a prediction or advice.\n",
  "sources": [
    {
      "title": "Delaware vs. Middle Tennessee on Polymarket",
      "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-del-mtnst-2026-10-13"
    },
    {
      "title": "Polymarket via AISA API",
      "url": "https://aisa.one/docs/api-reference/prediction-market/get_polymarket-events"
    }
  ],
  "related": [
    {
      "name": "Brazil Presidential Election",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/brazil-presidential-election.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/ballon-dor-winner-2026.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "Fed Decision in October?",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/fed-decision-in-october-20260617190323537.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/us-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt.html"
    },
    {
      "name": "US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?",
      "url": "https://agentflare.org/predictions/us-yemen-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt.html"
    }
  ],
  "pricing": {
    "price_usd": 0.01,
    "method": "402",
    "endpoint": "https://esa.aisa.one/api/v1/access/verify",
    "autopay_hint": "set crawlerAutoPrice=true with the X-Crawler-Token header",
    "onboarding": "https://esa.aisa.one/agent/guide.html"
  },
  "powered_by": "AISA — agent-native search, settlement & delivery (https://aisa.one)"
}